08‏/05‏/2009

Introduction to Currency Pairs

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Next, let’s go over the most commonly traded currency pairs.
There are three groups: the majors, the crosses and the exotics:
Major Currency Pairs
The “majors” are those currencies that are the major countries that are paired vs.
the U.S. dollar (plus their nick names in parenthesis):

EUR/USD – Euro vs. the U.S. dollar (the Anti-dollar)

GBP/USD – British pound vs. the U.S. dollar (Sterling, Cable)

USD/JPY – U.S. dollar vs. the Japanese yen (the Yen)

USD/CHF – U.S. dollar vs. the Swiss franc (Swissie)

USD/CAD – U.S. dollar vs. the Canadian dollar (Loonie)AUD/USD – Australian dollar vs. the U.S. dollar (Aussie)

NZD/USD – New Zealand dollar vs. the U.S. dollar (Kiwi or Kiwi dollar)

Currency Crosses

The “crosses” are those pairs that are not paired vs. the dollar such as:

EUR/CHF – Euro vs. the Swiss franc
EUR/JPY – Euro vs. the Japanese yen
EUR/GBP – Euro vs. the British pound
EUR/CAD – Euro vs. the Canadian dollar
EUR/AUD – Euro vs. the Australian dollar
EUR/NZD – Euro vs. the New Zealand dollar
GBP/CHF – British pound vs. the Swiss franc
GBP/JPY – British pound vs. the Japanese yen
GBP/AUD – British pound vs. the Australian dollar
CAD/JPY – Canadian dollar vs. the Japanese yen
AUD/JPY – Australian dollar vs. the Japanese yen
AUD/CAD – Australian dollar vs. the Canadian dollar
AUD/NZD – Aussie dollar vs. the New Zealand dollar
AUD/CHF – Australian dollar vs. the Swiss franc
NZD/JPY – New Zealand dollar vs. the Japanese yen
CHF/JPY – Swiss franc vs. the Japanese yen


Exotic Currency Pairs


The “exotics” are those pairs that are emerging economies rather than developed/industrialized nations. Here are a few of the more commonly traded exotics:


USD/TRY – U.S. dollar vs. the Turkish lira
EUR/TRY – Euro vs. the Turkish lira
USD/ZAR – U.S. dollar vs. the South African rand
USD/MXN – U.S. dollar vs. the Mexican peso
USD/SGD – U.S. dollar vs. the Singapore dollar


Note: the exotics are not the best place to begin as a trader. Start with the majors and crosses first. Then as you gain profitability with them, and then you might try the exotics later on.


Now that we know what the pairs are… when do they trade?


Currency Trading Sessions


Generally speaking, the sessions go as follows: The U.S. session starts around 8am EST and goes until around 5pm EST. The European session starts around 3am EST and goes until around 11am EST. The Asian session starts around 5pm EST and goes until about 4am EST. (Also, note that the trading week starts on Sunday evening around 5pm EST and goes through Friday at around 4pm EST. It trades 24 hours a day between those times and is closed for retail trading from Friday evening through Sunday evening.)

The European session tends to carry the most volume and volatility. The U.S. session produces the next biggest moves and volume. The Asian session will consist of lighter volumes than the previous sessions and tends to normally produce smaller movements. The first two sessions are usually when intraday trends form and the Asian session is when ranges are more likely to form.

Now, that’s all “generally speaking”. If you want to trade the pairs that will be the most active, then trade them when their banks are open during their business day. In other words, AUD/JPY will be more volatile in the Asian session than EUR/USD because when Asia is “open for business”, the European and U.S. banks are closed for business. Now it doesn’t mean that forex trading ceases in the EUR/USD during this period but it does mean that it won’t generally have the volatility of an Asian pair in the Asian session.

Note: EUR/USD is the most widely traded pair and therefore carries the absolute highest volume of all currency pairs. It makes up about 27% of forex trading volume. Next is USD/JPY at 13%, followed by GBP/USD at 12% of the total forex trading volume.

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Why Trade Forex?

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Enormous Volume
As was mentioned earlier on, the forex market dwarfs all stock markets of the world in volume. It trades about $4 trillion EACH DAY. To put this in perspective, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) trades around $28 billion a day. The entire U.S. stock market trades about $191 billion daily. The Futures market trades about $437 billion daily. None of these even come close to $1 trillion, much less several trillion.
What advantage is that to you?
Greater volume means better fills on your orders (less slippage). Slippage is where you click on a market price yet get filled at another price by the time your order can be filled. The more volume at each price level, the better those fills become. Therefore, the forex market offers the least slippage of any market. Keep in mind too that slippage is a “real” trading cost.
On top of better fills, the spreads are less which means your costs are less and you can get into profitability sooner in this market due to that. Typical spreads are 2-4 pips on the majors and 4-7 pips on many of the crosses.
No Commissions
You have no commissions in this market since you don’t have to go through a broker on your way to the market maker. You simply deal directly with the market maker and therefore you don’t have a broker’s commission. This is a huge savings and allows you to get into profitability much sooner too. For instance, in stocks, you are charged twice (a buy commission and a sell commission). Ouch!
24 Hour a day Trading
Unlike stocks, that trade only 6 ½ hours a day, you can literally trade forex anytime 24 hours a day (Sunday evening through Friday evening). So instead of having to trade at work (like people do all over America with stocks), they can trade after work when they can really have some focus. So it doesn’t matter where in the world you are or what shift you work…you can trade forex. More tradable hours means more tradable opportunities.
Also, many important announcements come out for stocks when you can’t even trade them (before or after the bell). In forex, you can trade currencies at the time of the news announcement if you like.
No restrictions on Short Selling
In stocks, they make it hard to short. Why? They want stocks to go up and not down. They want an upward bias to aid corporate America in growing their stock prices. They have no incentive to help you
short a horrible stock or one with declining earnings.
However, in forex, you can short just as easily as you can “go long” (buy). The fills are just as quick. There isn’t any need for a firm to check for “shares to borrow” like in stocks. There are no “uptick rules” either. There’s none of that nonsense to worry about.
Besides, in currencies, you are always going long one currency in the pair and essentially short the other. So they don’t care which one you are long or are shorting.

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What is Forex?

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What is Forex?



Forex stands for the foreign exchange market. This is also referred to as the FX, Spot FX or Currency market. All of these names are just several ways of describing the very same market.
This market has been around since the 1970’s when currencies started to fluctuate when President Nixon took the U.S. off of the gold standard. Formerly, the U.S. currency was backed by gold and now it’s just backed by the “faith” in the government’s ability to honor and back the currency.
However, even though this market has been around for such a long time, it hasn’t been open to the retail public until the 1990’s and many market makers didn’t even get well established until 2000 or after.
Formerly, only the “big boys” could play around in this market. They usually had a minimum of $10 million to $50 million to throw around in this market. It was reserved basically for banks and big institutions.
However, with the advent of the internet, later on it was able to be opened up to the retail public as they were allowed to trade in smaller sizes that would be feasible for the “average Joe” to be able to handle.



Size of the Forex Market



The Spot Forex market is the largest financial market in the world, with a volume of $4 trillion average daily trading volume. Now let’s put that into perspective. The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) trades about $25 billion a day. So not only does this dwarf the trading volume of America’s largest stock exchange but if you combined the volume of ALL stock markets around the world, you still haven’t equaled the daily volume in the forex market.


Forex trading is simply the trading (exchanging) of money. It involves the simultaneous buying of one currency and the selling of another. The “exchange rate” is what you will see quoted. This determines how much currency that another currency can buy.
You will find that there will be many factors that cause these exchange rates to go up and down. Ultimately, the exchange rate is determined by the confidence that the world collectively has in a particular currency. This will be made up of many facets: how their economy is doing, political stability, consumer sentiment, the trend direction of these exchange rates on the charts, etc.



Where are these currencies traded in the forex market?



The good part about forex trading is that you don’t have to “literally” exchange money or set up foreign bank accounts or any of that nonsense. No, it’s as simple as opening up an account with a forex dealer (aka market maker…some even refer to them as brokers). They aren’t technically brokers and that’s why there’s not a commission in this market. It’s because you are dealing directly with the market maker. Market makers charge spreads (the difference between the buy and sell quote…which we’ll delve into more later) and brokers charge commissions.
In your stock brokerage account, you incur a buy commission from your stock broker, a spread cost from the market maker and a sell commission from your stock broker. So there are three fees by the time you’ve bought and sold a stock. However, in forex, you don’t have the commissions and even the spread you pay is less than that of stocks when you consider how much currency you are controlling.


Important note here!


Make sure to open your account with a well capitalized, regulated market maker. I’ll suggest some to check out here. There are many reputable market makers out there such as: FXCM.com, Oanda.com, Forex.com. GFTforex.com, etc. Your market maker ideally needs to be regulated in one of the following countries: the U.S., Canada, the U.K., or Hong Kong.
These are the countries that regulate the best and hold their market makers to the most stringent requirements. The last time I checked, FXCM.com had the best combination of capitalization and regulation in multiple countries. However, check all of this out for yourself at each of these market makers and see what you feel is best for you.


How are currencies traded?


They are traded in pairs. Why? Because a currency can be strong vs. one currency but weak vs. another. Remember that currency values are the collective sentiment of investors around the world.


So if investors feel good about the U.K. economy and worse about the U.S. economy, then the British pound (GBP) will gain in strength to the U.S. dollar (USD). However, at the same time, investors could still feel better about the U.S. economy than that of Japan. If so, the USD would go up against the JPY (Japanese yen). So as you can see, it’s all relative to what it’s being compared to. In the first instance, the U.S. dollar is viewed as being weak (in comparison to the pound). In the second example the “buck” was viewed as being strong vs. the yen.
So these currencies are traded in the interbank market through these forex market makers. The market makers set the quotes based off of the buying and selling pressures that they see due to the demand for a currency vs. another.
Currencies trade in the spot forex market as OTC (over the counter). That simply means that they do not trade on a certain designated exchange around the world. An example that you might be more familiar with is the NYSE and the NASDAQ. The NYSE is an actual exchange that has a physical location where stocks are traded. The NASDAQ, on the other hand, is an OTC market where there is no physical place that you would see these traded. They are just two different ways that stocks are traded.
Generally, if you see a stock traded that has a 4 letter symbol, it’s traded on the NASDAQ. However, if it’s 3 letters or less, then it’s traded on an exchange such as the NYSE.
An advantage of an OTC market is that market makers have to compete for your business more than a specialist would have to on a physical exchange. Therefore, this ends up working in the actual trader’s favor.

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Why Trading the Forex is a Great Financial Decision

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There are many reasons why trading the Forex is a sensible business decision for anyone even if they have little or no forex trading experience. This article will reveal 7 different reasons for trading forex.
Ok, so let's get started.
1. Contrary to popular belief you can actually start trading the forex market with very little start up capital. Most people believe that you have to have thousands of dollars in your bank account to make trading forex worthwhile. However this is not necessarily true. You can start off with as little as $50 invested and as long as you follow the right principles you can turn that into a decent extra income stream.
2. Forex is a huge market! There is literally trillions of dollars being traded every single day. You don't have to worry about trying to sell if the currency goes down, unlike stocks etc.
3. Huge volatility. Forex is the most volatile market in the world. What this means? The ability to make large profits every single day!
4. You can make money even when the economies in a recession. Unlike stocks which are very hard to profit from during recessions, you can profit no matter which way the market goes.
Ok so now you know 5 different reasons for why you should trade forex. Of course you will need training and help to get started and it's always a good idea to start off trading with a demo account. Check out the website below and give forex trading a go. You never know, you may end up with a very healthy second stream of income from very little work.

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Forex Day Trading- What You Should Know About This Lucrative Market

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Forex trading was once one of the best kept secrets of the financial world. As the largest financial market, it should have been very well known. However, it escaped under a lot of people's radar. Investors from all over are hungry for new, lucrative markets to get their hands on and Forex (FX) is primed for the investigations.

Forex does not trade futures, stocks, or options. It's a market where currency is traded. Unlike the stock exchange, FX doesn't have a board or panel that governs its actions, nor is there any type of arbitration process if someone feels that they were cheated by another trader. Members work things out on their own through credit agreements and word of mouth. Self regulation is the key to controlling the FX market.

Forex day trading can be like a vacation for the trader who deals with other financial products in the other markets. There's less governing bodies that you have to deal with, which in turn means there's less regulations and binding rules.

For instance, in the FX market, there's no such thing as an "insider trading". If you know something that can be beneficial to yourself and the exchange rate of a currency, then you can capitalize on it that information at will.

Before you get a mental picture of forex day traders carrying loads of cash ready to exchange, sell, or trade, you should understand a few things. The forex market doesn't really sell anything. Trades are done online and can be best described as a speculative market. The market exchanges one currency for another.

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Making $1,000 in 2 Minutes trading the Forex

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How to Improve Forex Trading

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Seeking ways to improve forex trading is a consistent goal of any forex trader. To continue being successful with Forex trading, you will need to adopt a trading system. Whether you are a beginner, or a more experienced investor, you should always be searching for new and more efficient ways to conduct your forex trading and increase your profits.
There are many people who get involved in the forex market without really understanding how it works and the underlying principles which need to be applied to forex trading. It is common to set yourself goals which are unachievable and all you end up with is a bad financial experience. The Forex market is very volatile and with traders typically trading amounts of money 100 times their margin, that margin can be lost very quickly. It is very important therefore that new forex traders constantly seek ways to improve forex trading. The best way to do this is to use forex trading systems.
Using a trading system has advantages.
With a trading system, you can use reasoned judgement when deciding to enter a trade. This helps avoid being late on entries due to hesitation, or the wrong gut feeling or second opinion. For the same reasons, a trading system will give you less doubts about when to exit a trade or when to stay in.
When you adopt a trade system, try it our on your practise account in real time, to become experienced as to how and why it works. Start off with small margins when you start trading real money. Always look for ways to improve your trading system.
Another issue fort the forex trader is that it is a 24 hour 5 day a week market. It is impossible to watch all of the markets all of the time. Many forex traders are turning to software technology to monitor the markets for them. There is a lot of different software on offer so it pays to research and read reviews on the various products available.

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Forex Raptor Review - a Quick Way to Kill Your Account

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Prior to finally having success trading forex, I was just like everybody else who was struggling. I jumped from one indicator or system to the next. One of the systems I jumped on, only to jump off a month later was forex Raptor. Forex Raptor uses mathematical algorithms which analyze the markets and gives you entry and exit positions and the proper time to get in and out. It sounds great on paper doesn't it? Well, maybe that's where it should have stayed.I found trading on it to be as intuitive as flipping a coin. It felt like I was just guessing. It provided me with no insight into the price movement of a currency. it genuinely felt like I was playing with some kind medieval calculator. The way it works is, you put information based on past bars (open, low, high, close) and it is supposed to predict the future. Not only was it incredibly unreliable doing that, but it was also extremely glitchy. I'd put a signal for a sell and I'd get a buy, and vice versa. Thankfully I only traded with a demo account and since I never made any money, I never went to a real account.If there is one thing that I like about Forex Raptor, is that It caused me to ask myself "Why am I trading with something, if I have absolutely no idea why I'm buying or selling"? Software like forex Raptor is what made me get into the "less is more" approach trading methodology. Ever since then, I got rid of all my indicators (since I don't even know what they're supposed to mean) and I began to look at the market at its purest form. I've never looked back. So for that, I thank Forex Raptor.

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Forex Market Offers Opportunity And Information

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The forex market is what is called an international exchange currency market, where currencies are exchanged on a daily basis. There are five forex market centers around the world ' New York, London, Tokyo, Frankfurt and Zurich. One does not need to be on the trading floor, so to speak to be involved in the forex market. Today, forex trading can be done from home on a computer.
The forex market itself is basically a worldwide connection of traders, who make investment moves based on the price of currencies, or their values relative to other currencies. These traders constantly negotiate prices with other traders resulting in the fluctuation or movement of a currency's value. The value of a currency on the forex market also corresponds with supply. If there is greater demand for the Euro, let's say, then there will be less supply of it on the forex market, which means, in time, it will make a Euro more valuable compared to let's say the dollar. In short, in this forex market situation, one Euro would yield more dollars, subsequently weakening the dollar as well. Analyzing the forex market's fluctuations allows investors to make predictions on how a currency will move in relation to another currency. They then can make predictions and buy and sell currency accordingly.
While some people view the forex market as a place to see what their exchange rate will be when they travel abroad, others view it as an opportunity to make great gains in their financial planning and future.

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Fu's Tip on Lifestyle Trader Simulator forex mini order preset

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What is a Forex Broker?

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The Currency / Foreign Exchange market is the world's largest and most dynamic market. Nearly $1.8 trillion is traded every day. The word Forex is derived from the words Foreign Exchange.
A Broker is an individual or firm that acts as an intermediary between buyer and seller. Forex brokers are firms that deal in foreign exchange. The foreign exchange market is quite similar to the equity markets, except that typical forex brokers do not charge a commission. However, forex brokers are required to have a license.
Forex brokers earn money from the spread (also called 'pip'). The spread is the difference between the prices at which a currency is bought and sold. A pip is the smallest price increment in a currency. For example, in Euro/US Dollar (EUR/USD), a move from 0.9008 to 0.9009 is one pip. In US Dollar/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY), a move from 127.41 to 127.42 is one pip.
Forex brokers can be compared on the basis of the spread they charge. Most forex brokers publish live or delayed prices on their websites so that the investor can compare the spreads. It is, however, necessary to check if the spread is fixed or variable. Variable spreads appear small and attractive when the market is quiet, but when the market gets busy the forex broker widens the spread, meaning that the investor will gain only if the market is favorable.
Forex brokers are usually tied to large banks or lending institutions. This is because of the huge sums of money traded in the foreign exchange markets. Forex brokers are required to register with the Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), and are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
A new trend among forex brokers is the emergence of online forex brokers, who offer trading facilities to 'retail traders' using advanced technology. With these facilities, anyone with a computer and an Internet connection can trade in the forex markets

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07.05.09 - Forex Market Reviews with Helius Analysts

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Automated Forex Trading Software – Should You Use Internet Based or Desktop Based Forex Trading Software

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One of the latest trends of forex traders is to use automated forex trading software to handle some of the more tedious tasks of monitoring the forex exchange market.

It is also becoming more and more popular with people who have no time to constantly monitor the forex market 24 hours a day.

Unlike the stock market, the forex currency exchange is open 24/7 and unless you make sure of a forex trading software, it is almost impossible to monitor the forex market constantly.

For people who are investing in the forex market on a part time basis, an automated forex trading software can be of tremendous help since it can help monitor, set trades and place stop losses on your behalf without you having to constantly sit in front of the computer monitor.

Most forex software receives forex signals from trading systems. These signals help in determining when and how a trade has to be made. The primary goal of this software is to give best trading norms to the user and return good profits.

They need not keep track of what is going on in the market. The forex investment can be managed by this automated forex software.

There are many forex software on the market these days and it can be difficult to determine which one is good and suitable for you.

There are mainly two types of automated forex trading systems in the market

1. Internet based systems

2. Desktop based software

The internet is a vast medium which provides access from any part of the world. An internet forex trading system allows a user to log into his/her account from any where in the world.

The main benefit is the user need not worry about the maintenance. There is one disadvantage in that if you do not have a fast internet connection, it may not perform well and gives vague results for trades.

Desktop based forex software can be downloaded to your computer and can usually work with or without your internet connection. Most desktop based software do require internet connection as well to download updates and import forex charts and data.

The security features of these two systems should also considered by users. Most of the internet services provide high security measures compared to desktop applications.

When carrying out internet forex trading, you should scan your computer for viruses and spyware before proceeding. This only can ensure proper trading without any hacking. Clearing your browser cookies can erase any rogue cookies or browser hijacks.

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Forex Viz Protrader 8th May, BUY & SELL

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التحليل اليومى لسوق العملات

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قائد حركة السوق اليوم.. قرارات سعر الفائدة في أوروبا






لا شك أن قرارات سعر الفائدة من البنك البريطاني والبنك المركزي الأوروبي هي من أهم الأخبار المنتظرة من السوق اليوم وذلك في الساعة 11:00 و11.45 بتوقيت جرينتش على التوالي. تعتبر أسعار الفائدة من الأدوات الأساسية المستخدمة لتقييم عملة البلاد، وبالتالي من المحتمل م تدفع هذه البيانات اليورو والباوند إلى الذروة في دقائق بعد الإعلان عنها. واليوم سيكون يوم هام للتداول باستخدام الأخبار الهامة في سوق الفوركس.







التحليل الاقتصادي


الدولار الامريكي USD
انخفاض الدولار أمام اليورو والباوند


انخفض الدولار أمام العملات الأساسية يوم أمس، حيث تراجعت جاذبية الدولار كملاذ آمن بسبب ارتفاع أسعار الأسهم وتحسن قراءة سوق العمل الأمريكي عن ما هو متوقع. انخفض الدولار أمام اليورو، حيث اندفع هذا الزوج إلى 1.3320. وسلك الدولار نفس السلوك أمام الباوند وأغلق عند 1.5123.كانت الشركات الأمريكية قد قللت من تسريح العمالة في أبريل، مما يدل على انتهاء فترة الخسائر في الوظائف الناتجة عن الركود. وانخفض عدد الوظائف بمقدار 491.000 عامل في الشهر الماضي، أي اقل من التوقعات وكذلك تعتبر هذه اقل كمية من الخسارة في الوظائف منذ أكتوبر. كما أن الاستقرار في إنفاق المستهلك بعد تعرضها لأسوأ تباطؤ خلال ثلاث عقود زمنية، يعتبر بمثابة دعم للتوقعات بان الركود الأمريكي سينتهي في النصف الثاني من العام. في تداول اليوم، على تجار الفوركس التركيز على عدد من البيانات الهامة من أمريكا ومن منطقة اليورو. نتوقع أن يكون هذا الزوج ذو تذبذب مرتفع حيث ينتظر السوق بيانات سوق العمل الأمريكي وقرارات سعر الفائدة من البنك الأوروبي والبنك البريطاني.


اليورو EUR


قرارات سعر الفائدة الأوروبية في الصدارة



ارتفع اليورو أمام الدولار الأمريكي يوم أمس ولكن توقفت هذه الارتفاعات انتظارا لاجتماع السياسة النقدية للبنك المركزي الأوروبي اليوم والذي من المتوقع أن يقطع فيه البنك سعر الفائدة بمقدار 25 نقطة أساس إلى 1.00%. وقد يعلن البنك عن إجراءات أخرى خاصة بالسياسة النقدية لتحفيز عمليات الإقراض ومعدل النمو. ارتفع اليورو أمام الدولار وأغلق عند 1.3320. في الشهر الماضي، كان البنك الأوروبي قد قلل سعر الفائدة إلى 1.25% للحفاظ على استقرار الاقتصاد. وفي هذه الأيام، تواجه أوروبا خطر أكبر من الركود والانكماش وإبطال عمليات التعزيز بالاقتراض. نتيجة لذلك، من المحتمل أن يقطع البنك الأوروبي سعر الفائدة اليوم، بينما ترعى الحكومات الأخرى برامج استثمارية. سوف يرى السوق قرار قطع سعر الفائدة الأوروبية على انه خطوة تهدف إلى عودة ثقة المستهلك وللتخفيف من أثر الأزمة المالية. قد يتطلع المستثمرون إلى تذبذب غير معتاد في حركة اليورو/ دولار حيث يحاول هذا الزوج إيجاد خطوط دعم ومقاومة جديدة.لا تعتبر هذه الحركات القوية في السعر أمر شائع وبالتالي فإنها تقدم الكثير من الفرص للاستفادة من هذه الحركات السعرية والحصول على الكثير من الأرباح. إن تم قطع سعر الفائدة بالفعل/ فسيكون هدف السعر بالقرب من 1.3000 هدف غير معقول للأسبوع القادم.
الين الياباني JPY


انخفاض الين أمام العملات الأساسية


شهد الين الياباني حركة هبوطية أمام العملات الأساسية الأخرى. وكان الين متأثرًا بشكل كبير بسلوك العملات الأخرى. فنظرًا إلى انه لم يتم الإعلان سوى عن مؤشر واحد عن الاقتصاد الياباني، كان حافز الين على الحركة هو العوامل الخارجية أكثر من العوامل الخاصة بالاقتصاد الياباني. ارتفعت القاعدة النقدية اليابانية بنسبة 8.2% في أبريل عن ما كانت عليه في العام الماضي. وارتفعت الحسابات الجارية المودعة في البنوك بنسبة 81.2% بعد ارتفاعها بنسبة 69% في مارس. وكان السبب الرئيسي في هذه الزيادة هو إدخال البنك الياباني لمبالغ كبيرة من المبالغ المالية بالدولار إلى العمليات السوقية وسط أزمة الائتمان العالمية. وسيكون من المثير للاهتمام أن نرى كيفية تفاعل البيانات اليابانية المحلية مع حركة سوق الأسهم لبقية الأسبوع وعلاقة ذلك بسلوك الين في الفترة الأخيرة.


النفط الخام Crude Oil


النفط يسجل أعلى مستوى له خلال 6 أشهر


لم يتغير النفط الخام كثيرًا بعد ارتفاعه فوق مستوى 56 دولار للبرميل للمرة الأولى منذ نوفمبر يوم أمس نتيجة للانخفاض المفاجئ في مخزونات النفط الخام الأمريكي وتباطؤ الخسائر في الوظائف الأمريكية في القطاع الخاص في ابريل، مما عزز من الآمال بتحول الاقتصاد إلى الوضع الأفضل. ارتفعت أسعار النفط إلى 56 دولار من 34 دولار الذي وصله في يناير، وذلك بمساعدة ارتفاع أسعار الأسهم والآمال بابتعاد الاقتصاد عن الركود قريبًا. ارتفعت أسعار النفط بشكل أساسي بسبب ضعف الدولار الأمريكي وظهور إشارات ايجابية من البيانات الاقتصادية. وفي الأسبوع الماضي، ارتفعت ثقة المستهلك الأمريكي كما جاءت بيانات الإنفاق في قطاع الإنشاءات ومبيعات المنازل التي لم تتم عمليات بيعها بنتائج صعودية مفاجئة، مما قدم المزيد من الدعم للثقة في الطاقة. إن استمرت الاتجاه الحالية على ما هي عليه، فلن يكون الارتفاع فوق مستوى 60 دولار بعيد عن النفط.


التحليل الفني


اليورو/الدولار الامريكي EUR/USD


بعد فترة تذبذب السعر غير المعتادة، يبدو أن هذا الزوج في حالة من الهدوء المعتدل، حيث تظهر جميع مؤشرات التذبذب في المنطقة الحيادية. ولكن فد يكون هناك اتجاه متماسك على الرسوم البيانية للساعة وللأربع ساعات. وإن بدأ البولنجر باند في الضيق خلال الساعات القليلة القادمة فقد نشهد تذبذب حاد في وقت لاحق اليوم. على التجار انتظار الاختراق ثم الدخول في الاتجاه في أسرع وقت.


الجنيه الاسترليني/ دولار امريكي GBP/USD


لا يبدو أن الحركة الصعودية المستمرة لهذا الزوج تواجه الكثير من المقاومة مؤخرًا. ويظهر على مؤشرات التذبذب على المدى القصير أن السعر لا يزال في المنطقة المحايدة. ويشير مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني اليومي أن هذا الزوج يتحرك في منطقة ذروة الشراء، وانه يوجد تقاطع هبوطي على الاستوكاستك البطيء على هذا الرسم. قد نرى تصحيح هبوطي مع نهاية هذا الأسبوع. من الأفضل انتظار الاختراق الهبوطي والانضمام بعدها إلى اتجاهه


الدولار الامريكي/الين الياباني USD/JPY



لا يبدو أن هذا الزوج يشير بشكل واضح إلى الاتجاه الذي يسير فيه مؤخرًا، حيث تتماسك حركة السعر في نموذج سعري باتجاه مستوى 98.50. ومع بداية ضيق البولنجر باند على الرسم البياني للساعة، قد يصل هذا التماسك على الذروة قريبًا. على التجار انتظار هذه الحركة والانضمام إليها مبكرًا.


الدولار الامريكي /الفرنك السويسري USD/CHF


يظهر أن هذا الزوج يتحرك في مدى تداول بين 1.1400 و1.1250 بدون إشارة واضحة للاتجاه. ومن خلال مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني اليومي، يبدو أن السعر يتحرك في منطقة ذروة البيع، وبالتالي فإن هناك ضغط صعودي. يمكن للتجار تحقيق ربح من الشراء عند الانخفاضات والبيع عند الارتفاع داخل المدى الحالي.


التوصية اليومية


الجنية الاسترليني/الفرنك السويسري GBP/CHF


شهد هذا الزوج حركة صعودية متذبذبة مؤخرًا مما دفع السعر إلى منطقة ذروة الشراء على مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني للساعة وللأربع ساعات مما يدل على أن التصحيح الهبوطي وشيك. ويدعم هذه الفكرة التقاطع الهبوطي على الاستوكاستك البطيء على الرسم البياني اليومي وعلى الرسم البياني للأربع ساعات. يمكن لتجار الفوركس الاستفادة من هذه الحركة الهبوطية الوشيكة عن طريق الدخول في صفقات بيع عند مستوى دخول ممتاز. forex



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