22‏/05‏/2009

Exotics

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Exotic currencies are the currencies which have limited dealings and very little liquidity. Exotic currencies are neither minor nor major currencies. Some of the minor currencies include Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar. On the other hand, the minor currencies in the forex market are U.S. Dollars, Euro, Japanese Yen and Swiss Francs. The exotics play an extremely vital role in forex trading and are equally important as are the major currencies.
Few examples of the exotic currencies include Uruguay Peso, Thai Baht, and Iraqi dinari. It can often be extremely expensive of trade in exotic currencies as the bid-ask spread is usually quite large.
The role of the forex market as the one and only domain for financial institutions as well as major banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve is immensely important. The Forex market has been highly success in helping the banks and financial institutions makes substantial profit which is now offered to the common people. Most countries of the world have now become dependent on each other because of a hike in the foreign investments and worldwide trade.
The economic condition of a country can have a huge impact on the fluctuations of the value of the currency of that particular country as the various economic facts affect the currency’s rate of interest. Thus, the monetary health of a country is determined by the appreciation or depreciation of the value of the country’s currency.
Exotics terms and definitions
Geek: a Quant
Free floating currency: It stands for the currency that has an exchange rate which varies in comparison to other currencies.
Majors: The most widely traded and liquid currency pairs. Major currency trades constitute almost 90 percent of the Forex trading in total.
The top most traded currencies in the forex market are:
U.S. Dollars: The price index determine the relative strength of weakness of the Dollar. When the index figure is large, it means that the value of Dollar is stronger. In the same way, when the index figure is small, it indicates that the value of dollar has not depreciated.
Euro: The adoption of a single currencies by all countries of the European Union has sowed seeds of the creation of what is known as “Euroland”. In total, 11 countries of European Union use Euro as their currency including Spain, Italy, France, Belgium, Austria, Portugal, Luxembourg, Ireland, Finland, Germany and Netherlands. All these nations together have over 300 million people living in it and account for over 20 percent of the total world economy. It also represents the hugest foreign market of the world.
Japanese Yen: Japan continues to be the undisputed global power in economy even in today’s competitive marketplace. After the second world war, the government of Japan has applied all its resources and energy into the development of its economy. As a result of this, it has now become one of the largest economic power throughout the world. Thus, the Japanese Yen is also the 3rd most widely traded currency.
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Currency Crosses

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Currency crosses is the name given to any pair of currencies which are traded in the Forex Market but does not include U.S. Dollars in the pair. In the trade of currency crosses, one currency of any foreign country is trade with the currency of another foreign country without converting their currencies into U.S. Dollars at any stage. In the past, any trader who wanted to exchange a particular amount of money into any other currencies, it was essential to first convert that amount of money in U.S. Dollars and then further convert it into target currency. The advantage of currency cross is that traders can eliminate the stage of converting money in American dollars completely.
For example, in the GBP / JPY cross, a trader can directly convert their money which is originally in Japanese Yen to British Pound, without the need to first convert it into U.S. Dollars.

How to trade in currency cross if a forex account is represented in U.S. dollars?

Though in the forex market, traders are free to trade almost all the currencies existing in the world, but the majority of trading is carried out in the group of currencies known as the major currencies. These include U.S. Dollars, British Pound, Euro, Canadian Dollar and Japanese Yen.
The currencies which are traded and exchanged with each other are quoted together in the form of pairs and are referred to as Currency Pairs. An example of the major currency pair is EUR / USD in which Euro (the currency of European Union) is traded against U.S. Dollars (the currency of United State of America). Since U.S. Dollars is the most traded currency in the world, it comes under the category of major currencies. However, the other traded currency pairs which do not include U.S. Dollars in it are known as cross currencies.
Most of the forex traders and investors in the United States deposit money is U.S. Dollars in their respective margin accounts. But this does not mean that they will be restricted to trade only in the currency pairs which include U.S. Dollars in them. The traders in the United States are free to trade on all cross currencies. The only difference is that they will require undergoing two trades instead of just one.
Let us understand this point better with the help of an example. Suppose a forex trade has an account that is denominated in the currency of United States, which is U.S. Dollar. He or she wishes to trade Japanese Yen against British Pound. In order to carry out this trade, he or she will require to first purchase the British pound in exchange of U.S. Dollars. Once this is done, the traders can not use these British Pounds to exchange it for Japanese yen. But, since it is important that both the trades should be complete, thus a margin is calculated for both the trades which is then added together. However, in order to avoid this process, brokers now readily accept margin deposits in different currencies of the world like British Pound. The traders having accounts in foreign banks can most easily make use of this option.

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the Forex Trading with FXCM

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Forex Capital Markets (FXCM) is one of the leading desks of online Forex trading in the world. It gives a free Forex trading course and provides micro lots (which enable a trader to open an account for as less as $ 25). It also exploits daily FX, which is a world level news site. Additionally FXCM has a no dealing desk platform and lets you go for fractional pip pricing. Interesting indeed.
“Trade as you might, but trade you will”
Live clients playing in a real-time environment get free Forex trading signals. The clients can look to play from the charts, they can even trade through Meta trader 4 if they so like; though most of the clients go for the third option. This means trading through their proprietary software FX trading station.
Depending on the currency pair you are trading in and also the market liquidity at the given time, spreads can very well vary. Spreads can be as low as 1 pip and obviously taut fractional pip pricing is always there.
Its customer support is by far the best you can align to. They are pro-active and often initiate you on things you thought you needed to know.
“No dealing desk”
FXCM’s no dealing desk platform is a revelation. It passes orders to nine well-established banks. The NDD platforms leverage a trader to trade during period of high volatility and news without having to offer requotes. They can also look to place entry orders while being in the spread. A trader dealing with FXCM does not need to talk through a dealer. He can continue with his trading without any interference from the side of the dealer. Trade restrictions do not apply. The entire ambit of online Forex trading stretches ahead of a trader.
“Forex not well received yet”
In the past, stock trading got all the plaudits, few professional traders dealt in Forex but truly they were few and far between. Today, handsome opportunity being thrown by the major companies has changed all this. Imagine, they are trustworthy as they have a brand name to carry, at the same time they open a Diaspora of options for a trader.
FXCM gives a lot of stress to internal matching of trades. This means, that if a spread is 3 pips and FXCM is able to correlate a buyer and a seller then each would stand to gain three pips. The market scope charting package is another new wave technique that helps with trading pips on a nominal timeframe. So now you can choose to be present for a very short while and still trade Wall Street and Nikkei.
“Dangers pertaining to it”
There are few statutory warnings for Forex trading though. Off-exchange Forex Trading is considered to be a little dangerous anyways. It is more of a speculation and people are asked to adhere to it at their own risk. In fact, it is believed that a 15 percent profit rate for an active day trader is more than sound. Having said this, if a trader believes he can make his mark in Forex, FXCM can prove to be quite a foil.

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the Forex Trading with eToro

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Who is a novice? A man who is daunted by techniques involved in a certain discipline. He would always want things to be taught in a very easy manner. What would a trading novice understand about Fibonacci retrenchments, multi-level customizing and so on? Keeping this in mind, an online Forex trading service has launched an intuitive trading platform for all its traders. In the third of a series of broker reviews we talk about the Cypriotic brokerage eToro.
“Innovation at its best”
If you are an absolute novice, eToro’s innovative cash program helps you hone your skills and also offers various cash winning programs to help you with monetizing. Sometimes the program helps you compensate for the trading brokerage. There are traders all across the globe who can add something to your experience and eToro helps in meeting those trader in a real-time, secure environment. Now, if you wish to trade for free or for real money in an absolute real-time environment, here is your chance to go the eToro way.
Traders trade one currency against another. For all such trade, technical know-how is required. eToro compiles all the technicalities in a fun format. This is truly inspirational. Yes, there’re the techniques alright but the presentation makes it easily gullible.
“Long ignored Forex trading”
In fact eToro has an aim in mind. It understands the giant leap that stock trading has taken over the years. In the same span, Forex has played less of a credible part. eToro wants to change all that. It wants to give an easy access to all the novices and amateurs who will add on to the volumes. Today, Forex trading is largely within the domains of professional traders. Actually there are quite a few daunting concepts which beat an amateur so he shies away towards average stock trading.
“Simple screenshots”
To boost its point further, eToro actually practices what it preaches. eToro’s screenshots are a complete revelation. They are so simply made that it needs one simple look for even a teen to understand it. Instead of daunting graphs flying at all kinds of trajectories and making hyperbolas and parabolas, it deals with a sumo, or may be a samurai running against an American athlete; the aim here is to show the resurgence of Yen against US dollar or otherwise.
eToro’s designers, internet panelists and web developers have joined hands to make an intuitive working platform that has been lapped up by people across the globe in something over 1 year. When we deposit money for a real account, it combines us to Retail FX or IFX markets. These are two top of the line forex exchange brokers.
It has invented four games for tackling all the concepts of forex trading:
Forex Marathon- a user can pick two currencies and race them against each other.Dollar trader- users evaluate and assess future value of dollar.Globe trader- users can choose a particular currency pair and the amount they want to trade in.Dollar match-it is a tug-of-war between the currency selected by the user and a different currency.

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the Forex Trading with - dbFX

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dbFX is an online Foreign Exchange trading service that has been originated by Deutsche Bank AG. In fact, the bank that dbFX is affiliated to is no mean bank. Volume wise, it’s trading is equivalent to the cumulative trading of major equity markets of Middle East and US. This means that dbFX does not have a volume issue by a far chance.
dbFX is trading presently in many of the significant currencies of the world. These include American dollar, British pound, Euro and Japanese Yen. Apart from the major currency pairs, there are the crosses and many minor currency pairs as well. dbFX operates at a reasonable trading margin and in all fairness, provides clients with breather whenever warranted.
Individuals and small institutions alike are benefiting from the online foreign exchange service of dbFX. Deutsche Bank did a new wave research. FXCM backed it with its trading station. dbFX jumped on the duo just when the time was ripe. Today dbFX’s hi-fi solution works on a dated version of this particular trading station.
“Volume and volatility”
Presently the trading volumes are soaring, despite the official crunch that is being established globally. Today, US-Euro is the highest traded currency pair and dbFX is taking quite a volume-roll in them.
Investors are looking at leverage in the market volatility for fetching returns on investments. This is making the volumes soar. As an online Forex trading service, dbFX has taken the right plunge and is doing pretty well with the prolific currencies.
“People love security”
People like trading in platforms that are well-backed. Moreover they look for trading in pairs that are tightly laid-out (we mean the top currency pairs). Now, if there is an online trading unit that works fine for the given environment and is also secure, then people would not think twice before jumping into them.
“Top of the line technical analysis”
dbFX provides top of the line market information, clean analysis, charts and modules, and lets you trade mini-frames. If you are looking for the Fibonacci retrenchment graphs, it tells you where the resistance is most likely to cease. Which among the number 38.2, 61.8 and 50 is most important for that present deal? It has a panel of experts who opine when the rally and correction measures might be induced in the market. What is the latest on the market capitalization scene? How would liquidity move? they also read into the market volatility and give a decent prediction to the leverage investors as well as the grey-market players.
dbFX offers competitive spreads even in the time of poor trading. “EURUSD is offered at a 2 PIP spread and leverage is 100:1.”
The trading platform is a trustworthy and user-friendly platform.

You can view all your account activity in Real-time. More over, there are multiple levels of customization that can be followed. The facility of integrated charting is available for most of the top online trading communities but the format followed by dbFX is quite a revelation. Point and click market order technology helps prevent any time-loss that brings disappointment later.
Overall, dbFX can be easily trusted as it is tied to one of the safest banking units in the world.

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Understanding the Forex Trading Rates

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Forex is the biggest financial market. It deals with buying, selling, exchanging, hedging and speculating currencies. This means that you can look to trade high volumes and high market capitalization in safe environment. Yes, the forex markets also operate in a decentralized way through off-exchange brokers but the deals are more or less safe. Forex trading rates are important to be understood and discussed before dealing in forex trades.
A broker is the central part of the deal. He also exercises some command while you are running with a trade. No dealing desk is a concept that is still catching up but more or less the dealers are required. You need these people for various forex trading rates. Let’s take a few important ones.
First, there are the rollover rates. Most of the forex market deals are done over a two day period. This means the trading is settled on the second or the third day. For keeping the position overnight, the broker debits or credits a certain amount to a trader’s account to cover for the inter-bank interest rates and the currency which is being traded. If the trader has brought a currency that is sailing at a higher interest rate than the currency pair he is trading, then money gets credited into his account.
Money is debited in the opposite case. It does not matter what kind of trading volume the trader has, rollover fee is deducted over the full position. So margin money is the key factor here. In this regard, it is also worthwhile noting that position held on a Wednesday might have a higher rollover fee as the positions are only cleared next Monday.
FXCM is presently allowing a very reasonable rollover rate. But then it has the backing of a reputed bank so it can trade through low rollovers. Let’s take an example of rollover. Suppose you are trading in EUR/GBP. This means you are looking to buy EURO and sell GBP. Now if the former is available at 3 percent interest rate and the later is at 1.5 percent interest rate, it will mean that the bought currency is at higher interest rate and hence money is deposited into a trader’s account.
Interbank FX has also done quite well with the pips it has posted for the traders. Gain capital, GCI financial and Saxo Bank are letting more or less 3 to 4 pips. Even the leverage provided is roughly 400:1. This means that while trading with them, you can look to trade big amounts for very small margin money. Most of these provide with a free demo account. Many of these top broker houses have a reasonably high pip spread used for major currencies.
Broker houses often charge few hidden fee that traders often do not understand. As we have discussed earlier, rollover rates can vary and it depends on how well you can negotiate with the brokers. Similarly margin money can vary. Further, they may charge you over the stop trades in different percentages. Always look for the leverage spread being offered.

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( Finotex forex trading : Get started )

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Just as the speculation in stock markets gained steady ground, the usually inclined minds for easy money, whoever had certain funds I banks or at hand, went for the kill! Early bird gets the worm. There was a catch though. The ramification of money is singular because it brings in greed. And the impending fluctuations made the investors look for other options too, like forex trading.
With the population getting fiercely into forex trading, several companies with an eye on the financial aspect, started to diversify and start their own trading houses.Finotex forex trading option is one of the most telling operators of foreign exchange. With the number of clients on a vertical ascension, the company has kept the rules quite simple.It is the basic learning house, the nursery of Forex trading.
The valuable tips, the layman’s definition of changing trends and the abiding trick of when to hold and when to sell! They all teach the greenhorn a lot of the mystic ways of money and its trade.
A small but important account is necessary to get enlisted. The client buys his or her own space through the account. Some research goes in the reading of the different currencies and how they are going to function in future. The significant events in a particular country always have certain effects on its currency, and the investor should be aware of the current affairs, if he wishes to play with his money.
The continuous analysis by the marketing and executive team of Finotex is at the mercy of the investor. Every trader has access to the account through a coded system, unbearably hard to hack. The top-notch team of strategic experts is not there just to eat off the money, but to be extremely helpful in judging the situation.
The success percentage is officially great and the first steps taken by the potential grand forex trader are positive. The ranges of betting gradually stamp them on the trader’s mind. Spread-betting, future option and intra-day are a few major styles of betting. The spread betting system gets the most call as it covers the conscious spread of the currencies within the stipulated time.
Of course, sudden events may lead to enormous changes and the calculation takes a beating, but then one may take heart in the fact that he is not the lone sinker. A big chunk of traders is down with him. Future options have a disadvantage of locking the money and are not a suitable option for those lacking in lucre.
Intra-day is obviously the day to day investment and people investing in it are generally big losers over a measurable period. Those with patience and a wagering heart, in principle, keep away from it, unless the trader has got first-hand information.
The privacy policies are very strict and one is bound to feel secure at Finotex. The higher authorities keep an eye on the proceedings on a rotational basis.

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The Forex Trading with ForexPro

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The forex traders are ever on the lookout for brand new ways to get in the money.

And the veritable start for the universal quest is in finding a worthwhile broker.

And if the client has the fortune of getting across FX Pro, he may see a bright future ahead.
A leader in brokerage in the field of forex trading since 2002, FX Pro guides the institutions as well as private traders to make good calls.

The world of money is very uncertain and it is hard to stay indulged without burning hands, but with proper suggestions, tings do not seem all that hard.

One needs to first have an account and a deposit with the broker to deepen trust.

Once the account passes verification levels, the game is afoot.

The roll of money on right currency pairs and at the right time may be possible even for the layman without any link to the professionals, but the frequency would be low.

What FX-Pro does is it makes money making more prolific!
A steady and continual system of daily analysis of market situation, flutter in crude oil, condition of blue chip currencies and other traits that are enviable knowledge for the curious investors.
The traders get useful tips on which of the pair to follow through FX Pro because the team also has specific insider information many times.

The periodic comparisons of currencies during elections and catastrophes are done on a diligent platform. The broker knows that the money being played with is the client’s and has to be dealt with utmost respect.When times are averse to trading in foreign exchange, there would be enough vibes in that regard and those very vibes ware transmitted with utmost care to the trader.

It is not that every time they strike gold, but the conversion rate is exceptional.
Dollar, Yen, Euro, Yuan are the growing currency of the 21st century and in bracing comparisons are ever in see-saw format.

The tendency is hard to make a concrete note of, and only the professionals do have the instinct of separating the profitable from the destructive at a given time.

The rest is on the trader’s capacity of faith and his heart to invest.

FX Pro has in its payroll skilful technicians hardened through years of toil and clinical precision. Brokerage is a very damning profession and losses turn quite a lot into abuses being hurled, but there is general stability while working one’s money with the FX Pro brokers.
Providing complete knowledge of the types of trading and its shortfalls are on the circular of the broker’s performance.

The trader has to have his mind open to suggestion and either blindly follow or put in varied inputs from learned sources to turn into a regular winner.

However one has to always bear in mid that it is but a form of speculation and does not come with a bank guarantee.

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The Forex Options

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Most people relate ‘Options’ with Stock Markets. However, the Foreign Exchange Market, also known as Forex Market, also provides the opportunity to trade Options. The Forex Options give the traders and investors a large number of opportunities to increase their profit while limiting the risk.Types of OptionsForex Options are basically of two types: Traditional Options & Single Payment Options TradingTraditional Options
The traditional options provide the buyers with the right to purchase anything at a pre-decided time and price from an option seller. For instance, one can purchase an option for buying two groups of EUR / USD at 1.2000 in a month. In this case, if the price of this currency pair remains below the pre-decided rate, the option expires without any trade. However, if the price increases even beyond the set rate, suppose to 1.4000, the buyer can still make use of their option and obtain the currency at the pre-decided rate, which was 1.2000. Thus, it allows the buyer to earn profit by selling the currency at higher rates.
SPOT or Single Payment Options Trading
In a SPOT option, the trader determines a scenario such as the rate of EUR / USD will go beyond 1.2000 in 10 days, obtains a quote for it and gets paid for it when this scenario takes place. SPOT converts options in cash automatically when the option trade is successful, thus resulting in a payout.
Most traders like the choices that one gets due to SPOT. SPOT option is comparatively easier to trade and is all about entering the right scenario. If your estimation is right, you will gain cash. On the other hand, if you aren’t able to form the right estimate, you lose an amount from the premium. SPOT Options also have an added advantage that they offer you one with the choice of varied scenarios, thus giving traders the chance to choose exactly what they want or predict.
On the flip side, SPOT offers demand high premium and cost more than the standard options.
Why Should One Trade Options?
There are a number of reasons behind why one should go for Trade Options. These include:
The risk of losing money is limited only to the premium of the option.
The profit potential is vast and unlimited.
One has to pay lesser money up front.
One is free to choose the date of expiry as well as the price.
Options can be used to trade on market movement predictions with risking a large sum of money.
The Single Payment Options Trading provides a large number of choices to the traders. These include:
Standard option
No-Touch SPOT which means that one will receive the payout when the price does not reach a pre-defined level.
One-Touch SPOT which means that one will gain profit when the price reaches a particular level.
Double no-touch which implies that one will be eligible for a payout when the price does not touch either of the two predefined levels.
Double one-touch implies that one receives a payout when the price touches any one of the two defined levels.
Digit Spot means that one will receive payout when the price is either above or below a particular level.

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The Forex - Box - Options

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News can be traded in many ways. Few traders are using what is called forex box options for increasing their profits. Forex box options or simply forex options is the way in which we can place put on a sell option or place buy on a call option. This is when the prices of the pair are strike prices.
Forex box is a new wave technique in which a trader can put in his own estimated support and resistance levels and place it within a box. What returns he fetches would depend a lot on how close or far to the box is the real stock movement. So a player can go for speculation, hedging and a lot more things.
Traders love buying a currency pair with the derivatives. This gives them leverage higher than 200:1. The great point is that traders love to take it farther in terms of leverage and sometime speculate without any active hedging. Playing the boxes with futures and forwards has become a latest fad with the currency dealers.
Okay! Let us be a little more elaborate about the boxes. A trader and a broker come to a consensus. A trader uses all the technical tools of analysis, fundamental analysis and may be ideas from news trading to make a box. Now he either suggests to the broker that a given trading currency would hit the box or it would miss the box. In the event of the trader being right, he gets an amount from the broker. This is pre-stipulated. If the broker is right, trader’s entire amount is seized. The trader might get a small percentage back if the broker decides to resell prior to the expiration of the box’s term in the currency market.
Now the forex box options can be used for trading in a currency fluctuations over few minutes, at the most it can be a few hours. With more traditional boxes in the past, it could have been week or even month. Trader’s benefit- he establishes the price range for which a currency would work within a given time period. Broker’s benefit- he alone determines what the payout in the event of a trader’s victory will be.
Traders can look to use the forex box options at times the market shows heavy fluctuations because at these times the chances of getting a box-hit are far higher. Now, this is more the trend when a news report is being released. A major news report impacts the forex market to reverse or rally in a big way. Forex box option aims to measure and prison the price fluctuation within it for the trader. The returns are obviously higher if a trader plays for a miss in times of heavy price fluctuation within the proposed price range.
The underlying may miss the box by as less as 5 pips or hit it through 5 pips for a given moving average. The idea is to predict these. The difference between these two words and its prediction can make or break the game for you.

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Valuation -of Forex Options

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By its definition, an Option gives the buyer the right (not an obligation) to exercise the contract on the expiry date. This brings out a popular reason for the forex market players to choose trading in this instrument, that’s “liquidity”. High liquidity with full choice to not exercise the contract that’s not feasible, is what makes currency options a likely choice in Forex trading.
Valuation of FX options is very crucial as it determines the market psychology & trade flow. Value of the options is largely influenced by factors like market volatility, underlying asset’s price, expiration time, interest rates, margin amount and cost of carry.
Currency Option values are calculated using constructive models of valuation. When the buyer wishes to exercise his right of the contract, he needs to understand if his decision will make profit or loss. Hence, forming graphical analysis is one way to arrive at the value of the option. If Mr. John has one call option at a strike price of $5000 for one stock of company XYZ, he would certainly not exercise the option where the spot price of this stock is less than $5000.
This option would only make profit when the stock price surges higher. This scenario is termed as “option in-the-money” In this example; an increase in the stock price will lead to an increase in the value of the option. Similarly, if the spot price of the stock is less than or reduces than the strike price of the option, the option is termed as “out-of-the-money”. The intrinsic value of the option will be zero, when the spot price is equal to or lower than the strike price. This example concludes that the call option cannot have a value lesser than its intrinsic value, where
Intrinsic Value = Spot Price – Strike Price
Similarly, for a put currency option, the value of the option decreases with a rise in the spot price of the market.
Valuation of currency options is done through few recognized valuation models. The binomial model and Black-Scholes model are widely used valuation models. These models are mostly used to value European options, where the option can be exercised only at the expiry of the contract. While both the valuation models are popular, the difference between them comes from the approach towards the change in the stock price. The binomial model approaches a “binomial method” towards the percent change in the stock price and the Black-Scholes model embraces a “normal log method”.
Binomial model basically follows a numerical method to value options. Stock price at the beginning and end of the valuation period is the base tool in arriving at the value of the option. The Black-Scholes formula is based on many assumptions those can affect the value of the option. This method is supposedly more comprehensive way to generate relative prices. This method is based on natural algorithm and an assumption that the stock price deviates frequently. Since this formula is known to produce values in a reasonable range, it is regarded as a time tested and dependable method.

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Pricing Considerations for Forex Options

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While currency options are regarded as the best hedging instrument in any foreign exchange trades, it would be more interesting to know about what goes into deciding on the price of these options. Pricing of the options is grossly influenced by many factors, micro and macro. While these factors may or may not be related directly with the option, a writer of an option has to consider them all while pricing an option. Lets walk through few factors as listed below.
1. Price of the underlying asset/securityIn case of FX options, the price of the underlying currency is a most important factor while determining the price of the option. This price is termed as S0.
2. Interest RatesThe rate of interest implies the interest that an investor would pay on the cost of borrowing. This rate is supposed to be risk-free. For example, if an investor borrows $1 million from the market to invest in forex options and he is paying an interest at the rate of 15%, the risk-free interest rate is 0.15, which is termed as r.
3. Time to expiryThis is the effective time left to the expiry of the contract. Lets suppose an option contract has a validity of three months and the buyer wishes to exercise it after 2 months, then the time left till expiry is One Month. This is termed as T.
4. Margin amount requirementIf the option is uncovered, the seller of the option can demand a margin money deposit from the buyer. This is one more important factor while determining the price of the option.
5. VolatilityForex markets are highly volatile and the trading volumes deviate much than expected in cases of extreme volatility. While volatility may be the reason for the option prices to increase or decrease, too much volatility can tumble the market. Volatility is termed as s.
6. Tax Rules in Option tradingCurrency movements are extremely volatile and many times may not last for more than couple of minutes. Traders take different positions and quickly wind up their positions within short time. This is known as day trading. Options trades can give good short-term returns, which may further attract tax as prescribed by the regulatory body/Government.
7. Strike / Exercise Price of the OptionStrike price is the price at which the option can be exercised, hence known as the exercise price. Lets see example of 2 call options on USD/GBP, one with the strike price of 1.5 USD per GBP and another is 1.25 USD per GBP. The holder of the first option can buy 1 GBP @ 1.5 USD and the second holder can buy it for $1.25 USD. Therefore the second call option has a higher value than the first one.
For valuation of options, the binomial model & Black-Scholes model are highly used. Black-Scholes model is supposed to be a more comprehensive one than the former. Pricing of the options always has great efforts and analysis put in, therefore making options a viable hedging tool than any other derivative.

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Hedging with Forex Options

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Foreign exchange market is always exposed to various risks like exchange rate risk and interest rate risk. Market volatility gives rise to sudden emotional decisions, which may not practically seem to coincide with the benefits as anticipated. Many look at FX trades as speculative way to make dollars, while many others utilize the market to cover up their other exposed risks. Hedging is commonly noticed in many Forex trades.
While forward contracts were looked at as best hedging instrument against interest rate risk, FX Options (Known as “Currency Options) have paved their way to establish themselves as a favorable choice. FX options are flexible compared to the forwards, as they give the buyer a choice, not an obligation, to exercise his right of the contract. The buyer however gets this “choice” only on a payment of an upfront “premium” to the seller of the option.
Hedging with Currency Options

Traders use currency options to protect themselves against the adverse & volatile movements in the exchange rates. For instance, when the investor speculates that the USD/YEN rate will surge higher, it simply means that he would need to pay extra Yen to get one USD compared to what it was previously,Hence the investor would buy a “Call Option” on USD/YEN. This way he is “hedging” or protecting his position from the risk of increasing rate of USD/YEN. Through the call option, he can exercise his right when the price increases and thus not let his other position affect.
Lets take one more example of an investor, who is long (holds the position) on stock of Microsoft and expects the market to go down in the near future. But, he doesn’t wish to sell his position abruptly. So to hedge his risk against the volatility of the stock price, he can buy “Put Option” on Microsoft stock. If the price falls in the future, he can exercise his option and sell his position for a price higher than the spot price.
Considering the volatility of the foreign exchange market, an investor needs to have hedging instruments that are highly liquid. Currency options are highly liquid and hence are considered as a good hedging instrument. As the investor need not exercise his option, it is regarded as an “insurance” or “protection” on the market positions.
Tit-bits of Currency Options

hedgingCurrency options are mostly sold on OTC (over-the-counter) markets. Multinationals and corporations use currency options to hedge the risks related to their export and imports. Often in any export-import trade, the payment is delayed and such a delay could result in inadvertent loss to the investor. Hence, currency-hedging turns out to be a good opportunity to avoid unfavorable losses, yet make favorable gains. Many, as a hedging tool in foreign exchange trades, also use currency forwards and futures. But these tools are rigid as compared to the flexibility of the currency options. Hence, hedging with currency options is seemingly the right choice to protect against the market risks.

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Automated - Currency - Trading - Systems

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Automated systems are a completely revolutionary approach to trading in the forex world. This approach has completely turned the way forex trading used to happen.
The question is how can automated systems in forex produce better returns?
Using an automated forex system means using an automated computer program, emitting physical presence of person. In other words a forex trading robot is used as a trading program that works just as a human being and performs the work of foreign exchange trading. This is not a very old technology that has come into being.
Two basic categories of automated systems in forex trading are explained below:
The first one is automated trading using managed forex. In this system, not all, but some forex managed accounts are used for trading via automated forex. In both the cases the trading is said to be passive that is you do not have to do it.
The second one is Automated trading using WealthLab. In this case one requires programming skills, such as knowledge of programming languages like Pascal etc. One has to select its own parameters and then test your system performance.
There are innumerable numbers of advantages of automated systems in forex trading field.

They are:

One doesn’t have to be physically present for trading all the time.
Automated systems that are used for forex trading are not time bound. That means like human beings, the automated programs does not require sleep. So the trading can take place day and night. Thus there will be much more profit than what usually use to happen.
One can trade on multiple systems using automated systems, such as those systems which rely on various types of indicators, or the systems that trade longer or shorter time frames. This is done in order to diversify risk. One reason could also be to smooth out the equity curve and similarly reduce drawdown.
One big advantage that an automated system has over conventional methods is that it is unaffected by a human’s or the trader’s psychology, which is a very important factor to have good trade and profit. As a result the performance of trading increases.
Some of the automated systems available are so good that that you just need to install it to your compute platform and it starts working according to the live market conditions.
In order to avail all these benefits you must make sure that you choose your automated system for forex trading very wisely. Knowledge of programming language will be an added advantage. It will be beneficial if you check the performance of the automated system by taking a free trial before purchasing it. In case free trail is not available you can have a set of reviews over it.It is very much likely that in near future more and more programs will come up which will offer special programming skills for these automated systems. Various examples of automated systems are FXTradeStream, HyperOrder, MetaTrader 4, Neoticker, NinjaTrader, Robotic Forex, SnapDragon, Thinking Stuff, Trade Bolt, TradeBullet, TradeCompanion, TradeItself and TWS Link.

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the speed of execution

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Forex is highly volatile and serves huge volumes. Capitalization levels are very high and any economic release or demand/supply imbalance can cause a pair to go for a stop. In all cases, you will need to be quick. You cannot make the most of a market movement after it has lost momentum. Many news or other factors that cause volatility do not remain for long and this is why they cause short-burst changes in the market. The idea is to use the change before you are stopped out or the news loses energy. For this, speed of execution is very important.
Let’s see what a lack of speedy execution can do. Suppose you place a particular stop profit with a broker and the broker fails to put it quickly and the stock moves beyond the point and reverses to its original value. In the given case you stand to lose out on a lot of money. Similarly if they put a stop loss late and the price of stock reaches beyond the value, you will have to bear a greater loss than what you may have desired. This is where a speedy execution might have helped you. Also the dealer on his own let a trader trade for higher prices than the stop if he sees great volumes coming the stock’s way. This has to be done speedily again or the volumes may be lost.
While news trading, speed again begins to matter a lot. Though it is not possible for any broker to place orders very quickly as the market is full of orders at the time of release of news, those who offer one click solution can be handy in letting you bag at least some order.
All this becomes even more important for the short frame players who want to put the pips and generate profit in the 20 minute cycle. This means that they can look to trade Nikkei and Dow Jones within an hour and look for different currency pairs each half an hour. You can yourself imagine how much speed of execution might matter to them. A single button for open/close can be a great help.
This has brought the need for automated programs or forex robots. Of course, they help with many other factors too. The robots use intense mathematical algorithm to track the market. They use many charting software and technical analysis tools but at the end they come with all kinds of figures and estimates very quickly. They analyze when a stock might reverse. They find out the buy/sell options. They find out historical data for future predictions and place pips with high speed. Today, it has become possible to use these robots and trade without sitting at the desk at all. Their speed is proved by the success that they have for short frames.

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Trading with Meta Trader 4

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Every entity evolves with time.

Forex has also well and truly evolved.

Today, it has reached such high trading volumes per day that it has come nearly one up on the traditional stock market if you take the off-exchange retail centers into account.

But you need a platform to trade such high volumes.

It should be capable of trading and also holding the charting software which has all the relevant technical tools a trader might need.

Meta trader 4 is trading software that has helped all kind of investors, traders and daily spinners quite well.
Meta trader has great many advantages.

Now you must have heard of the forex trading robots.

These are automated programs which help you trade in the forex even if you lack know-how. These do not require human assistance to place pips.

They do it basing on their own analysis.

They keep a fair leverage spread and know the precise entry and exit points of a trade.

But they require a platform to trade on.

Meta trader fulfills this particular requirement.
Even if you do not believe in the automated programs or the robots and like doing it yourself, the software can come in very handy.

Make a program of your own favorite technical tools and float it on the platform.

It also lets you hold various programming languages for trading modules.
There are traders who need the technical know how or perhaps are good enough to make their own trading tools but the problem is that they do not have time to sit on the desk at all.

These might be corporate bigwigs with an on-the-run life or marketing people having to be in the field all the time.
Here, the idea of trading them on the Meta trader through mobile sounds interesting. Meta trader trades via PDA or a Smartphone and helps you with trading all the currency pairs. Moreover, it can also trade short frames over mobile.

So it is super advantage for day traders who had to sit all day to monitor the smallest of fluctuations.
With the craze of Meta trader getting strong, the DDE tools have come into the market. These help with all kinds of real-time conversions.

This means that the tools are handy in importing data from Meta trader to Microsoft Excel. Such Dynamic Data Application tools can be quite handy in converting data over various user applications.
With Meta trader 4 platform, users can also operate more than one account.

All they would require is a multiple terminal for the purpose.
We have discussed many values of this free of charge trading platform.

There are quite many others which cannot be discussed within the ambit of this article but the greatest use is their grip over the robots.

Today, trading is simply not possible without making a fundamental and technical analysis. Without the platform, the programs would have hanged in thin air with no place to be installed. Meta trader 4 has changed the way the high-volume, high-capitalization industry operates today.

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More - on - Technical Analysis for Trading

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More - on - Technical Analysis for Trading

Speculation, hedging and arbitrage are the three key factors that dominate and influence Forex trading. While every trader may have one of these reasons to play with currencies, the technical analysis helps to forecast the price movements of these currencies. Many technical analysis tools are used to arrive at judgmental trading decisions. Forex market is a round the clock market and therefore the analysis should capture the very minute price movements.
The historical data serves as a strong base for such analysis. The oldest technical analysis tool, known as “candlestick”, is believed to hail from Japan since the 18th Century. Then came the very popular “Dow Theory” in the 19th century, laid down by the very famous Dow Jones.
Any technical analysis would be based upon three assumptions viz.,
A price trend always has a reason
Historical trends may repeat
All considerations in the analysis are based on the current market trend.
A good technical analysis is based on different trend patterns designed by the technical analysts. A best technical analyst would always advice to go along with the current trend, that is a trader should “Go Long or Hold” in an upside trend and “Go Short or Sell” in a downside trend. Technical analysis is all about charting out different patterns so as to enable the trader to decide on the best pattern and follow the same in his trading decision. The popular technical analysis tools are charts, trend patterns and technical indicators.
Technical analysts use the historical trends and market analysis to correlate it with the current factors affecting the market. This helps to understand the price direction in the future. Hence technical analysis involves much of mathematical calculations and statistical analysis. A number of technical analysis indicators have been widely used, again as per the perceptions and beliefs of the traders. Political, social, psychological and economic events largely affect the technical analysis. A good reason why technical analysis has gained much significance than any other analysis is its ability to gauge the very smallest movements in the market trends.
Technical analysis indicators are many and are based on different ways of analysis. They are based on moving averages, volumes, volatility and range. Moving average based indicators include three types – Moving Average, Moving Average Envelope and Moving Average Convergence Divergence.

The volume-based indicators are again classified into Volume, On Balance Volume, Chaikin Money Flow indicator and Accumulation/Distribution. The famous “Bollinger Bands” & “Fibonacci Retracement” are based on volatility analysis. Relative Strength Index and Stochastic method are based on range.
Why Technical Analysis?While we have explained in brief about technical analysis, you would be keen to know why technical analysis serves as a popular tool in Forex trading. Large hedge funds, financial institutions, banks, corporates dominate Forex market. While they have the state-of-the-art technology to keep an eye on the market movements, they still adapt technical analysis to ensure that all political, social, psychological and economic factors are considered while analyzing the future price movements. Technical analysis is the best tool to identify right trends with correct prices.

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Double - Crossover - Method

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The moving averages method is believed to be simple and flexible method of calculating the average currency price over a certain time period. However, a Forex trader may be confused on the selection of the time period for moving averages. If the trader wishes to compare two moving averages with two different time periods, the best method to go for is the Double Crossover Method. Instead of one moving average pattern, the trader can select a short-term and a long-term moving average on the same screen and compare the two for deciding on the future price trend. In simple words, it is about using two moving averages to generate trading signals.
The double crossover method helps generate buy/sell signals with the use of two moving averages patterns. Trading decisions can be made in a simpler way with this method. When the shorter average pattern crosses over the longer one, the signal indicated is a “BUY (Bullish)” one. Similarly, when the longer average pattern crosses over the shorter one, the signal is taken as a “SELL (Bearish)” signal.
There are many combinations in which the double crossover method may be employed. Some popular combinations used in this method are 5-20 DMA (Days Moving Averages), 20-50 DMA or 10-50 DMA. Though this method may give some misleading signals known as “whipsaws”, but it yet lags the market due to use of historical data. This method may not have the trader exactly near the dot trend, but gets him somewhere closer to the same. Still, double crossover moving average method is considered to be one hand above the traditional simple moving averages method. The reason for the same is that the double crossover method uses two patterns of moving averages instead of one.


We have tried to explain this concept through a graphical example above. The pink line in the graph above represents a 5-DMA and the red line represents a 20-DMA. At the lower end of the graph, you can see the pink line crossing over the red line. Since the shorter moving average crosses the longer one, the intersection point is indicated as a “BUY” signal. Similarly when the longer moving average crosses over the shorter one at the top of the graph, the intersection point is a “SELL” signal.
The double crossover method is apt for currencies those follow the trends than market ranges. Some traders may question the use of closing prices of currencies while calculating the moving averages. Some may use a mid-value price, while few others may use price bands for day’s high & lows prices. Altogether, use of two averages for crossover can help detect buy/sell signals more effectively.
While analyzing crossover trends, a trader must see that the moving averages cover a lengthened time span. If the time span covered is less, lesser is the use of the trend to understand the signals. If the moving averages show a flat direction or a turned movement, it means that there can be trend reversal. Hence a trader must evaluate the trend patterns correctly to understand the right signals .


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( Moving - Average Method )

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One of the most simple and popular technical analysis indicators is the moving averages method. This method is known for its flexibility and user-friendliness. This method calculates the average price of the currency or stock over a period of time. The term “moving average” means that the average moves or follows a certain trend. The aim of this tool is to indicate to the trader if there is a beginning of any new trend or if there is a signal of end to the old trend. Traders use this method, as it is relatively easy to understand the direction of the trends with the help of moving averages.
Moving average method is supposed to be the simplest one, as it helps to understand the chart patterns in an easier way. Since the currency’s average price is considered, the price’s volatile movements are evened. This method rules out the daily fluctuation in the prices and helps the trader to go with the right trend, thus ensuring that the trader trades in his own good.
We come across different types of moving averages, which are based on the way these averages are computed. Still, the basis of interpretation of averages is similar across all the types. The computation of each type set itself different from other in terms of weightage it lays on the prices of the currencies. Current price trend is always given a higher weightage. The three basic types of moving averages are viz. simple, linear and exponential.
A simple moving average is the simplest way to calculate the moving price averages. The historical closing prices over certain time period are added. This sum is divided by the number of instances used in summation. For example, if the moving average is calculated for 15 days, the past 15 historical closing prices are summed up and then divided by 15. This method is effective when the number of prices considered is more, thus enabling the trader to understand the trend and its future direction more effectively.
A linear moving average is the less used one out of all. But it solves the problem of equal weightage. The difference between simple average and linear average method is the weightage that is provided to the position of the prices in the latter. Let’s consider the above example. In linear average method, the closing price on the 15th day is multiplied by 15, the 14th day closing price by 14 and so on till the 1st day closing price by 1. These results are totaled and then divided by 15.
The exponential moving average method shares some similarity with the linear moving average method. This method lays emphasis on the smoothing factor, there by weighing recent data with higher points than the previous data. This method is more receptive to any market news than the simple average method. Hence this makes exponential method more popular among traders.
Moving averages methods help to identify the correct trends and their respective levels of resistance.

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The- Relative Strength Index

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With the increasing timely improvements in Forex technical analysis tools, the year 1978 saw a new oscillating indicator “Relative Strength Index (RSI)” introduced by J. Welles Wilder. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a very famous momentum indicator. This indicator is often confused with other common names “Relative Strength” rankings or “Relative Strength” charts. Unlike other types of “Relative Strength” indicators, the RSI uses one currency for calculating the value.
The Method
The RSI computes the value of the indicator by comparing the scale of a currency’s recent profits to the scale of its losses. This computed value can range between 0-100. RSI considers a single factor, which is the time period. J. Welles Wilder proposes the use of 14 such time periods. Lets look at how RSI is being calculated. The formula to calculate the RSI is given below

Given a data, RSI first sums up the amount for all previous gains or losses respectively. This data is usually taken for standard 14 time periods as suggested by Wilder. If the cases are more or less than 14, the calculation value is changed accordingly. RSI is a running calculation indicator, so the accuracy degree depends on how much old are the time periods used in the calculation. The “First Average Gain” is an estimated value, which helps to get the later values accurate. Therefore, one must have such 14 estimated values already calculated in hand. Thus “First Average Gain” is the total value of 14 such time periods divided by 14. The calculation for “First Average Loss” too goes in the same way, except for replacing the gains with the figures of losses.
The next step in this running calculation is computing next average gain / loss values with the help of previous values. This is done by multiplying the previous average gain / loss value by 13 and then adding the present average gain / loss value. Dividing the result as calculated, by 14, derives the final output. This is also termed as “smoothing” of the value.
The “RELATIVE STRENGTH” is calculated by dividing “Average Gain” by “Average Loss” for each time period.
The computation of RSI (Relative Strength Index) is then calculated by conversion of the RS value into an oscillator, which ranges between 0-100. The formula for the same is given above.
The RSI increases when the RS value exceeds 1. This happens when Average Gain exceeds the Average Loss. The RSI decreases when the RS value falls beyond 1, i.e. goes negative. This happens in strikingly opposite scenario, where Average Loss exceeds Average Gain. Theoretically, if Average Loss is 0, the RSI is 100, which is the maximum value for the RSI.
Uses
While using overbought or oversold values, Wilder suggested using 70 and 30 respectively. So, the scenario becomes bullish when the RSI crosses 30 and bearish when it is low than 70. The traders hence identify the entry / exit points with the help of strong signals.

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On-Balance - Volume - Method

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On-Balance Volume is a popular volume based technical indicator developed by Joseph Granville in 1963. This indicator lies onus on tracking the momentum by correlating the volume of the trades to the change in price of the underlying currency / stock. This indicator aims to look out for trends where higher number of buyers / sellers form a bullish / bearish scenario respectively. The underlying assumption for this indicator is that volume overtakes the price movements. Many traders prefer OBV, as it is a running indicator. It adds the volumes to identify the cash inflows & outflows. OBV is mainly used to compare the volumes with the currency prices, thus identifying any diverging signal or confirmation.

The Method
In an “up trend” or a “bullish” market on a particular day, the volume of that day is added to OBV.o I.E Present OBV = OBV Yesterday + Today’s Volume
In a “down trend” or “bearish” market, the trade volume is subtracted from the OBV.o I.E Present OBV = OBV Yesterday - Today’s Volume
OBV is not affected when the closing prices don’t change.o I.E Present OBV = OBV Yesterday (No change)
The UsesOBV goes with the assumption – “Volumes lead Price”. The changes in the volumes are largely based on direction. If the volumes are high on a day, the in flow of the money into that currency is also high. Thus, people trade more leading to increase in the price. When the volume is more in an up-trend, it is denoted by the “bullish” line. If the price follows the up-trend, the OBV confirms the up-trend. This is a healthy market scenario. But if the volumes drop even when the price moves up, it is noted as a “negative divergence” signal. This indicates of an unhealthy trend and a trader should not go by this trend. A smart trader does not go by the inflated figure of the OBV, but by the OBV trend and its correlation to the currency prices.
The DisadvantagesThe disadvantage of OBV, which traders cite out, is its idea of generalizing. OBV only considers the direction in which the price moves. Since the variable increase / decrease in the price is ignored, traders argue that it may at times not provide the correct signal. For instance – If the previous day closing price of 1 USD = 0.80 EUR and the present day closing price is 0.90 EUR, the OBV considers only today’s closing price. But the movements of price in the whole trading day, which range between 0.80 to 0.90 EUR are ignored. If these movements and their relative volumes are considered while calculating OBV, the method turns out to be more accurate.
Forex traders always think of ways to enhance the indicator that they use for trading. One way to make the OBV indicator more effective to help trading decisions is to use chart trading. Still traders have differing opinions on how to enhance this indicator, this method is yet popular and most used one for Forex trading.

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Chaikin - Money - Flow Indicator

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The Chaikin Money Flow indicator, developed by Mark Chaikin, was an improved version of his previous discovered indicator ‘Accumulation / Distribution’. Given this fact, Chaikin Money Flow indicator is much similar to its kin ‘Accumulation / Distribution’. Still it differs from the latter as it does not taken in consideration the opening price, but the mean currency price. The word money flow suggests that the calculation of a key value is based on the price & volume. Indexing these calculated key values depicts money flow. Traders using Accumulation / Distribution indicator may not have easy access to the opening prices. They may use CMF (Chaikin Money Flow), which is known as the “oscillating indicator”.
The MethodThis indicator also is seen as an improvised version of the OBV. Unlike OBV, Chaikin Money Flow also considers the rise / falls in the currency price throughout the trading day, along with the previous closing price. In a bullish scenario, a currency’s closing price ought to be higher than the range of rise / fall values in the price of the currency. Traders go positive with such scenario as it indicates a positive signal. But when the currency closes at a price lower than the day’s range still with a higher volume, traders depict that as a weak currency. This may happen because when the currency price falls below the range on that particular day, the market often gets bearish. Such periods of rise / fall in currency prices, when considered, make this indicator more efficient of depicting the currency trends.
If CMF < = 0 Signal of Bearish Market, Increased Selling It’s best to consider the time period for which the CMF shows 0 or negative value. If this has been witnessed for a longer time, it is understood that the selling has been in force for a longer time. This is the second way to judge the bearish scenario. The third way to judge a bearish scenario is to check the degree or intensity of the oscillator. This is also known as the absolute degree of oscillator. If the neutral CMF value is 0, the bullish signal is indicated when the value rises above 0 and the bearish signal is indicated when the value falls below 0. For instance, a 0.15 CMF indicates bullish signal and –0.15 indicates bearish signal. Mark Chaikin has advocated the degree at +/- 0.25. +0.25 indicates strong bullish market, while –0.25 indicates strong bearish market. The degree gets more intense as and when it goes more positive or negative on the CMF value. UsesMark Chaikin advocates not using two similar indicators. The reason is that two similar indicators would calculate the value based on more or less same factors, leading to indication of similar signals. Hence, Chaikin Money Flow can go well with either Moving Averages or Relative Strength Index. Chaikin also advises to use a time period of 21 days, which is ideally 1 trading month. A smaller time period may be good, but may prove not sufficient for a proper analysis. While a bigger time period (more than 21 days) may have lags.

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The DiNapoli Indicators for a Secure Trading Experience

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If you are looking to secure a complete trading experience with the use of high level Fibonacci ratios, DiNapoli Indicators are the best. These indicators can be applied to Forex trading
What is DiNapoli?DiNapoli is termed to be one of the effective indicators for identifying the price movements in the market. It is a very significant tool in the investment markets and has found regular usage, when there is a need of comlete and modular trading approach.
Common Features of DiNapoli Indicators:
With DiNapoli indicators, you can have a moving average of both leading as well as lagging indicators.
The analysis presented by DiNapoli indicators is easy to interpret and use too.
DiNapoli indicators are modular and hence can be used together as well as selectively.
DiNapoli ratios directly talk about the performances of a trading activity and thus present opportunities.
Application of DiNapoli Analysis to Investment Markets Fibonacci ratios can be practically applied to problems faced in investment markets. DiNapoli indicators are derived and developed from Fibonacci ratios. Advanced Fibonacci techniques were developed by Joe DiNapoli during 1985 to 1987. DiNapoli Analysis is used to determine profitability.
Following are the main benefits of DiNapoli indicators:Application: Fibonacci theory can directly be applied to various trading opportunities. Thus, it becomes easier for people to identify opportunities and apply these tools in day to day trading sessions
Market Direction: A trader can spot trend and direction of market and a security with the help of each DiNapoli indicators. Thus, he can have a clear idea about the volume trading and price momentum.
Transformations: A trader can identify resistance level for a trading security. This will in turn help him to find out a level at which the price trends might change.
Consistency: Traders can build and trade through a consistent and regular trading strategy, if they follow all the rules and application guidelines related to DiNapolis indicators.
DiNapolis Indicators: Comprehensive Set
DiNapolis D-Levels: DiNapoli makes the use of Logical Profit Objectives (LPOs). LPOs are used to calculate the likely resistance and support levels.
DiNapoli Oscillator: A predicting oscillator forecasts one period ahead of current time period by creating a set of parametric equations. The resultant values are put across through bands on the bar chart. These bands are put both below and above the market.
DiNapoli Retracement Tool: This tool helps to show lineage markings and thus helps the trader to identify strong support and resistance areas.
DiNapoli Expansion Tool: This tool uses combination of expansion and retracement levels in DiNapoli techniques to further add to the accurateness of this approach.
DiNapoli Displaced Moving Average: This indicator displaces the moving average for forward looking period in time. This offers various benefits to the trades, like helping to locate the trend delineation point and finding out how time should lapse between today and that point. Thus, you can plan your market strategy accordingly
Proper learning to use the expansion and retracement level combinations can help to improve the accuracy of this approach.

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Islamic Forex Trading

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Islamic Forex Trading

In the world of Forex trading there is much to learn about currency exchange. In the world of Islamic Forex Trading, there are a lot more things to be considered than just the exchange of currency or precious metals. Until recently Forex trading was not being done in the Islamic world. This was mainly due to the fact that “Shariah Law” forbids many of the Forex standards.
In Islamic Forex Trading, there are no trades allowed that cannot be completed at the time of the trade. For example you cannot make a trade that will take six months to complete. You are only allowed to purchase foreign currency for the current trade value. If you make a profit you must be charged interest on it.
When trading for gold you must also trade with something of equal value. The same is true for trading silver or less precious metals.
Islamic Forex Trading accounts are set up to create a swap free account. This means that no swaps will be accounted to positions overnight. These accounts are set up for customers who believe that swaps are contrary to their religious beliefs.
The Islamic Forex Trading accounts do not receive or pay overnight interest or carry on positions in accordance with their religion. There are zero up-front commissions and no additional charges on these accounts.
In the Islamic Forex Trading account the interest payments on account balances is waived. Instead of swaps, the account will be charged a service charge on each lot left on the currency trade.
Forex traders have found a way for persons with Islamic beliefs to participate in the fast growing Forex market. The majority of Islam fundamentalists agree that Forex trading can comply with Sharia only if it is spot trading and doesn’t involve earning any overnight interest on the account. As long as the trading doesn’t involve Riba (unlawful gain) it is considered to be legal in the Muslim world.
Forex is basically trading one currency for another. Some Islamic scholars tend towards the thought that since there is a lot of volatility and speculation, it should not be permissible under Islamic law. It is compared to day trading which is not allowed under any circumstance in the Islamic world. You are not allowed to sell what you do not have in your possession. Therefore, you cannot purchase what you cannot take immediate possession of. This eliminates the speculative aspect of regular Forex trading.
You must take into account that some experts in Islamic law will interpret the laws differently and that you must be very careful to follow your beliefs very strictly to avoid being unlawful in your business ventures. Find a knowledgeable Islamic Forex Trading advisor to help you get started. They must be aware of all the rules on profits and loss. A great deal of experience would be helpful and you should check the credentials of the person you want to work with. When you are a little more experienced in the business end, you will be more comfortable with your Forex trading.

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the Forex Fundamental Analysis – Understanding The Basics

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In order to successfully create a forex trading strategy all profitable traders will use some sort of either technical or fundamental analysis.
Many traders choose to go with technical analysis as their main tool because it, all else being equal, is easier to implement than fundamental analysis.
With the software available much of the hard work is done and you really don’t need to have a solid understanding of advanced math to use these strategies. Other traders choose instead to go with fundamental analysis.
Fundamental analysis can seem a bit overwhelming at first because it involves so many factors.
Think of fundamental analysis for a publicly traded stock then multiply many times to scale up to an entire country or a number of countries in some cases like the Euro.
Forex fundamental analysis is a market analysis that tries to determine the future price of a currency based on current market trends.
The difference from technical analysis lies in the fact that fundamental analysis is not based on mathematical probability so much as it is a complete analysis of a currency based on political, economic and environmental factors.
Fundamental analysis focus on statistics and key numbers that indicate changes in supply and demand.
It requires the trader to have basic knowledge of the market forces – supply and demand and how these are affected by changes in the general economy and political landscape.
It is an analysis of the intrinsic value of a currency. How a certain economic or political event will affect the forex market is what fundamental analysis is all about.
The basics of trading on fundamental analysis consists mainly on analyzing these political and economic changes as they will have an effect on prices. This implies that traders will gather as much useful information as possible from news sources to gather info on unemployment, economic policy, political developments, inflation, growth rates and much more. Traders are constantly keeping an ear to the ground on speeches from policy makers and key commentators. Speeches and press releases from key figures in the Federal Reserve, Treasury and others are highly and almost hysterically anticipated as the market waits for these powerful policy makers to release news.
As always if there is an decrease in the supply of a good, in this case a currency, but the demand for that good remains the same, then the end result will be an increase in price. Likewise, if the supply increases while the demand stays the same, then the result is falling prices. So fundamental analysis is basically an analysis of a nations demand and supply for their currency. Many factors affect this balance which is why a trader going on fundamental analysis must know about many indicators such as Gross Domestic Product(GDP), Production (Industrial), Political Stability and Development, Interest Rates, Government Policies, International Trade, CPI, PPI, PMI and much much more.
Once all this data has been gathered, the trader will make an analysis of the currencies value against another. Then it can be decided if the currency will rise or fall against others. This process is fundamental analysis.

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Action - Insight Mid-Day Report 5-22-09

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Dollar Index Breaches 80, Time for Stabilization?

Funds continue to flow out of dollar assets as investors are concerned with the possibility of downgrade in US's AAA rating.

Most major currencies climb against the greenback together with crude oil and gold.

The dollar index dives further to as low as 79.86 today, meeting our target of 100% projection of 89.62 to 82.63 from 86.87 at 79.88. However, just like the case in Sterling, we'd believe the downgrade concern is temporary and will fade sooner or later. Indeed, with the dollar index now sitting at important support zone between 77.69 and 80 psychological level, we'll start to look for stabilization in dollar's fall and sign of reversal in greenback's weakness.

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Euro Continues to Rise, but Technical Obstacles Exist

Over the last couple months, the Euro has thoroughly outperformed the Dollar, which recently fell to a five-month low on a trade-weighted basis. Over the same period, global stock and commodity prices have also risen quickly, which is not a coincidence.
Euro Rallies against Dollar

In other words, investors are allocating capital on the basis of risk, rather than in accordance with (economic) fundamentals. For example, “ICE’s Dollar Index and crude oil have a correlation of minus 0.61 in the past two months, compared with minus 0.26 since the start of the year,” as rising oil prices and the declining Dollar feed back into each other.

Meanwhile, “Implied volatility on major currencies, which reflects investors’ expectations of currency swings, fell to 13.96 percent yesterday, from…17.22 percent at the end of March. A drop in volatility tends to signal less demand for options to protect investors from currency swings.” This indicator is now at its lowest level since the days preceding the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy and subsequent stock market collapse. One would normally expect a correlation between risk and return, but in this case, rising returns have been accompanied by lower risk.

Even more unbelievable is that this decline in risk is taking place against the backdrop of declining economic fundamentals. “Risk appetite in the currency market is nothing short of impressive considering the fact that the Fed reduced their growth forecasts,” said one analyst. However, “The euro-area economy will contract 4.2 percent this year, according to the International Monetary Fund, more than the projected 2.8 percent contraction in the U.S. and 4.1 percent slump in the U.K.” If investors were focusing on this divergence in economic growth, one would expect the Euro would be falling.

One hypothesis is that inflation-conscious traders are flocking to the Euro, since the ECB remains vigilant about fighting inflation, even in the face of declining prices and aggregate demand. After cutting rates to a record low 1% earlier this month, the ECB unveiled its own version of a quantitative easing plan, involving the purchase of 60 billion euros worth of low risk securities. But this is a pittance, both relative to the size of the EU economy (it represents a mere .6% of GDP) and compared to the Trillion Dollar Fed program. This led one analyst to call the ECB’s plan “chicken feed.” While all of this is noteworthy, it’s unlikely that this is having a meaningful effect on forex markets, which still remain focused on (avoiding) deflation.

If the Euro is to continue rising, it must overcome some technical obstacles. “The euro could hit a ceiling if the recent resilience of U.S. stock markets faces headwinds. ‘At some point…stronger nongovernment growth has to show up to sustain and justify these moves in equities.’ ” It’s interesting that the fear of Euro bulls is not that the EU economy won’t recover, but rather that US stock prices are overvalued. Given recent market movements, however, their concerns are reasonable, and “any disappointment [in corporate fundamentals] could provide an excuse to take profit [this] week — benefiting the dollar.”

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Action Insight Daily Report 5-22-09

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BoJ Upgraded Outlook, Yen Staying in Tight Range

The Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rate unchanged at 0.1% for the 5th consecutive month in a unanimous vote, as widely expected.

The central bank will also accept foreign currency-dominated sovereign bonds as collateral, including US, UK, German and French government debts.

Economic outlook was somewhat upgraded from "deteriorated significantly" to "deteriorating" even though "exports and production are beginning to level out".

This is the first upgrade since July 2006.

The economy is expected to recover in second half of FY2009, earlier than prior expectation of first half of FY 2010.

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