04‏/08‏/2009

Using Currency Trading Charts To Forecast Price Movements

Using Currency Trading Charts To Forecast Price Movements
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Currency trading charts and the various indicators that come with them are the tools used by nearly every trader in forex And it can be the skill with which you use these tools that can determine whether you ever get to be successful, so let’s have a quick survey of them . .Before we do, bear in mind that there are only three pieces of information you’re looking for from any indicator or chart You want to know whether the price is going to move more than a few points if so, whether it is likely to move upwards or downwards whether there is likely to be any volatility, or movement in the opposite direction, of more than a limited number of points before your target is reached . . .1 Bollinger Bands . .These are two lines drawn on the chart to show you the volatility of the market Very similar to support and resistance levels, they show you at a glance whether the price has strayed upwards or downwards too much, bearing in mind where it should be according to the normal rules of the marketplace So if the price has broken through one of the lines then it is a sign that it will shortly retrace back into the space between the two The lines themselves can and do move up and down roughly reflecting the actual price movements so this means the retracement may not always be by the same number of points as the original movement . .If the price has stayed between the two lines for a protracted period, then when it does eventually break through one of them it is often a sign of a strong movement in that direction, and so you can often make a successful trade based on that information . .2 Stochastics . .Stochastics uses the moving average principle to determine whether the market is overbought or oversold The theory is that if the moving average lines are above 70 the market is overbought (which means you should buy) and if they are under 30 the market is oversold (so you should sell, or go short) . .3 Parabolic Stop And Reversal (SAR) . .This is more of a long term indicator, and is designed to let you know when there is a reversal in trend It is displayed as a series of dots When the price breaks through this line then it is a sign of a definite movement in that direction that you can trade on . .4 Relative Strength Index (RSI) . .This is similar to Stochastics in that it can tell you if a market is overbought or oversold If you use the two indicators together, and they both agree at some point, then it’s a strong indication that the price will reverse The trouble is that it’s usually difficult to tell when exactly the reversal will take place, so if you trade on such information using a spread betting account then you should use a large stop loss if you can afford it . .5 Simple Moving Average (SMA) . .If, for example, you have a 50 period simple moving average setting then it shows you the average price over the previous 50 accounting periods So if it is an hourly chart, i e where each bar, or “candlestick” represents the price movement of one hour, then the SMA shows the average price of the last 50 hours . .You can tell at a glance from this whether the price has been rising or falling over that period This in turn shows you what the current “trend” is If you trade following the “trend”, as many successful traders do, then the SMA is your guide In fact the SMA is probably the only indicator, apart from the chart itself, that you really need It’s certainly the only one that many successful traders use . .It’s normal to use two SMAs, for example a 5 period and a 30 period, if you’re a short term trader, or a 25 period and a 150 period, if you’re a long term trader You then watch out for the shorter period SMA crossing over the longer period SMA, which is often a signal to go long or short, as the case may be The strongest signal is where the current price goes through both the SMAs at a steep angle .
Will The Iraqi Dinar Rise Now That The Constitution Is Approved?
The current constitution of Iraq was approved by an October 15, 2005 ratification vote. The proposed constitution was drafted in 2005 by members of the Interim Iraqi Government to replace the Law of Administration for the State of Iraq for the Transitional Period, which had been put in force by the Coalition Provisional Authority after the Iraq War and occupation of Iraq by the United States and Coalition forces. The drafting and adoption of the new constitution was not without controversy, however, as sectarian tensions in Iraq figured heavily in the process. The deadline for the conclusion of drafting was extended on four occasions because of the lack of consensus on religious language. In the end, only three of the 15 Sunni members of the drafting committee attended the signing ceremony, and none of them signed it. Sunni leaders were generally urging the electorate to reject the constitution in the 15 October referendum, but were overwhelmingly rejected by the voters. The text of the proposed constitution was read to the National Assembly on Sunday, 28 August 2005. It describes the state as a “democratic, federal, representative republic” and a “multiethnic, multi-religious and multi-sect country”. Excerpts From The Preamble We the sons of Mesopotamia, the creators of the alphabet, and the cradle of arithmetic: went by the millions for the first time in our history to the ballot box, men and women, young and old, on January 30, 2005, remembering the pains of the despotic band’s sectarian oppression of the majority; inspired by the suffering of Iraq’s martyrs - Sunni and Shiite, Arab, Kurd and Turkomen so we can create a new Iraq of the future, without sectarianism, racial strife, regionalism, discrimination or isolation. Some References To Monetary Concerns From The Body Of The Constitution The Arabic language and Kurdish languages are the two official languages of Iraq. The use of both languages is officially endorsed in any setting enjoined by the principle of equality such as bank notes, passports and stamps. The Central Bank of Iraq is a financially and administratively independent institution and is responsible before the Council of Representatives. The federal government shall have exclusive authorities in the issuing of currency, formulating monetary policy, and establishing and administering a central bank. Now, will the Iraqi Dinar rise? This currency has already gained 25% the past half year. The more stable Iraq gets the more the dinar will rise in my opinion. This is only one of the many steps Iraq has to make but for exceptance by the world bank a big one. Still keep in mind that investing in Iraqi Dinars should be on the most risky side of your investment portfolio. Marcel Heersema is a full-time online investor who is always looking for the best money making opportunities on the net.

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