29‏/08‏/2009

GREAT EXPECTATIONS

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GREAT EXPECTATIONS
Whenever I start teaching someone how to trade the Forex the most common
question they ask is “how much $ can I make each day doing this?”. I always
smile and shake my head once they inevitably ask this question. Everyone
always asks this question (I remember asking this question too when I first
started), and when you start teaching your friends (if you haven’t already)
then you too will get asked this question. Pay attention to how I answer it so
that you too can give your protégés the correct answer.
It is first of all incorrect and inappropriate to state what can be expected in
terms of dollars earned. Dollars (or whatever currency you are accustomed
to) is by no means a relevant measuring unit to make comparisons with. If I
told you that ‘John’ scored $50 today whereas ‘Simon’ scored $500 it would
be understandable that at first glance you would more impressed with Simon’s
results. But hold one, what if I then told you that Simon just scored a single 5
pip scalp trading 10 regular lots, but John made three trades scoring 10 + 17 +
23 pips trading just one mini lot for each. With whom would you now be
more impressed with? Your answer should now be John. He score 10 times
more pips than simple Simon. Pips, as you should now understand, are
absolutely relative (meaning that you can make comparisons) but dollars are
not because dollars are contingent upon how many lots you can afford to
trade.
So now here is the answer you are looking for. A conservative scalper should
be able to consistently (and by now from reading my other eBooks you should
understand the significance of the word “consistently”) average 20 to 60 pips a
day (depending on how skillful you are, and how aggressively you trade). For
the following examples we’ll use a realistic 40 pips. (Actually you could do
much better than what I just suggested, but I’d rather you start off with a low
expectation and then let you find what your average is – which could be much
higher.)forex sato
Ok, so how many dollars can this mean to you? Well here is where you write
your own paycheck. forex sato
It all depends on your account size. If using proper equity management
principles all you can afford to trade is one mini lot then if you were to
hypothetically capture 40 pips on average on EUR/USD then you would have
made an impressive forty bucks. Ok, it’s nothing to get excited over but
assuming you kept up that average for a full month (20 trading days) then you
might have captured 800 pips for an $800 profit (surely it sounds better now –
and an 800 pip month is impressive by anyone’s standards).
Continuing the above hypothetical scenario, if you were to trade 5 mini lots
then you’d be averaging $200 daily or $4,000 monthly - - 1 regular lot (equal
to 10 mini lots) would be $400 daily or $8,000 monthly - - 5 regular lots
would be $2,000 daily or $40,000 monthly - - 10 regular lots would be $4,000
daily or $80,000 monthly. You get the idea.
I could seriously answer you that you that you could expect to earn $40 a day
and you’d immediately lose interest (too bad for you because you’d miss a
great opportunity) or I could casually state that you could expect $4,000 a day
which might blow your mind (depending on what your current income level is
– if you are Donald Trump then this chump change would bore you) and
you’d probably start suspecting that I smoke crack (I don’t, it’s just a
derogatory slang expression implying absurdity).
So now do you understand why it is completely pointless to ask how much $
you can be making each day (on average)?
As a beginner assume that you’ll only average 20 pips daily (yes, it’s realistic)
and then calculate your own “paycheck” based on the account size you expect
that you’ll be trading with (applying proper equity management principles).
“Why do you talk about the money you can make earlier in the eBook and on
your website rather than talk about pips?” Simply put, most people wouldn’t
understand the significance of potential pip gains, but they sure can recognize
the meaning of dollar figure examples. Any dollar amounts ever quoted on
my website or in any of my writing is simply a realistic “carrot” to get people
to realize that trading Forex can be a very profitable activity. So stated dollar
amounts (always hypothetical of course) is just so that people who wouldn’t
otherwise understand the opportunity can start realizing that this could
possibly be for them. Let’s face it, everyone, surely including you (and me
too), first gets attracted to Forex for the income possibilities. So when people
initially ask you how much money one can earn trading Forex you can simply
give them some dollar examples to spark their interest, then when you start
teaching them you then explain that the dollars are irrelevant and that only
pips really matter.

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USE WITH “FOREX FREEDOM

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USE WITH “FOREX FREEDOM”?
Can you combine scalping techniques with the exponential growth plan
presented in the eBook “Forex Freedom”? Absolutely!
Most scalping techniques initially rely upon a 10 pip stop (elaborated upon
later in this eBook) however the plan as laid out in “Forex Freedom” assumes
you are using 20 pip stops. As scalping is somewhat “riskier” don’t double
your lots, but just follow along with the suggested amount of lots as described
in that eBook. forex sato
If you do intend to scalp your way through the “Forex Freedom” plan I would
strongly recommend that you have plenty of practice in a demo account (and
have demonstrated profit) before scalping in your real money mini account.

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Before we proceed any further

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WARNING
Before we proceed any further I want you to be aware that these methods can
be “High-Risk / High-Reward”. I don’t want to be a wet rag on your learning
enthusiasm but I’ve placed a “Warning” for you to read. Please consider the
“warning” which I am stating for your protection, but don’t let it scare you off
from reading the rest of this eBook… and from attempting these
techniques. Yes, there are some risks (as with any trading system), but for the
most part you’ll find that the risks are easy to swallow and the profits gained
by these methods are quite lucrative.
BASIC CONSIDERATIONS
PRACTICE MAKES WISDOM
Have you ever watched a game of some professional sport such as football,
hockey, baseball, soccer or basketball? Surely you would agree that the
athletes have spent many hours (actually years) practicing and honing their
athletic skills before they ran out onto the field for the big game (the real
game). Before you trade with real money you too should practice practice
practice with fake money in a “demo trading account”.
By the time you finish reading this eBook you’ll likely feel confident that you
can successfully scalp trade. Chances are that you’ll probably be able to, but
just because you can do something doesn’t mean you should do
something. You really do need to practice to gain proficiency as a scalp
trader.forex sato
You can read this entire eBook, study all the trading rules and trading set ups
presented, however there is simply something that I can’t teach you that you
can only learn by your own practicing. Being able to read the charts in real
time and being able to decipher & to make the decision whether to trade or
exit a trade requires what can seem like intuition. Once you are skilled at
scalping you almost appear to be psychic to someone sitting next to you.
The only way to develop this “intuition” is by extensive practicing. Once
you’ve watched your real-time charts long enough and have witnessed many
micro trends as they happen you’ll begin to get a “feel” for what the market is
doing based on the behavior of the real-time price action. Again, this isn’t
something I (or anyone) can possibly teach you within a book such as this;
you can only cultivate this “intuitive” skill by observing the live market.
This eBook will teach you the knowledge you need to know to be able to able
to scalp trade the Forex market, but, as any athlete can tell you, you need to
practice to develop proficiency. Many people have “knowledge”, but few
people have “wisdom” – wisdom is the result of the marriage of “knowledge”
and “experience”. Reading this eBook will provide you with easy knowledge,
but to develop the wisdom is completely up to you (clue: practice practice
practice).

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TOOLS OF THE TRADE

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TOOLS OF THE TRADE (pun intended)
The next few sections will discuss some of the tools you will need to scalp
trade.forex sato
YOUR COMPUTER
Obviously you’ll need the standard tools such as a trading account and charts
(we’ll get to those shortly), but here is a topic I haven’t previously discussed
in my other eBooks – your computer.
With most Forex trading techniques you can make do with a lame computer
and slow Internet (dial up), however with the fast paced world of Forex
scalping you really do need a reliably quick computer.
As a Forex scalper you need your charts to display the most up to date price
possible, and you need your brokerage software to execute a trade
promptly. Even with the best computer and a screaming fast Internet
connection you’ll still have some lag time (not to mention how long it takes
for you to physically move your mouse and click to enter a trade). Often as a
scalper you’ll experience missing out on a few pips (of lost profit) because of
slight inefficiencies (somewhat frustrating at times), but if you have to deal
with a painfully slow computer and a molasses Internet connection speed then
you’ll soon be tempted to introduce your computer to a sledge hammer. For a
scalper lost seconds means lost pips which means lost profits. Even in a
single day of trading this can add up to HUNDREDS of dollars, even
thousands, of missed profits.
The first thing to do to ensure that your computer is running your trading tools
smoothly is to NOT have other programs running on your computer while
trading. Having many programs open eats up your computer’s resources,
which can mean that your charts aren’t refreshing as fast, and it may take
longer to execute a trade. If you must listen to music then please turn on the
radio, don’t listen to MP3s on your computer, or God forbid, DON’T be
streaming music off of the Internet unless you have a very fast computer with
High-Speed Internet (even then it’s still better not to).
Chances are your computer itself is good enough to scalp trade with (unless
you are using something that is 10 years old), however you may find that it
starts running slower over time. If you ever find that your computer is
running like molasses, or much slower than you remember from the past then
it may be time to reformat your computer. It is generally a good idea to
reformat your computer every 6 months (kind of like going to the dentist) to
keep it running smoothly. If you don’t know how to do this then invite a techsavvy
friend over for a few beers to help you out with this.
If you think that your computer sucks then perhaps you should consider
buying a new one. You don’t have to spend a fortune buying the best
computer available, as generally the cheapest computer you can buy at your
favorite high-tech toy store is more than adequate for the purpose of scalping
with. You can always justify the expense by the profits it’ll make for you.
Your Internet connection is also important. Folks, I can’t understand why
anyone would still use dial-up for Internet access (unless it is all that is
available in your area) when High-Speed is not that much more expensive
(typically around 2 to 3 times the price of dial-up). Just the thought of surfing
the web on dial-up stresses me out let alone trading with it. If it is all you
have available then it’ll work for you, but seriously, if you can have high
speed Internet available then just pay the extra $20 or $30 per month. After a
few days of surfing the web you’ll wonder how you’ve ever done without it,
and surely each month you’ll catch at least an extra couple of pips that’ll more
than pay for it.

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SERIOUS TRADING COMPUTER

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SERIOUS TRADING COMPUTER
I wasn’t going to add this topic (as it isn’t specific to scalping techniques) but
decided to include these thoughts here for you as it can give you a solution to
the problems that I’ve faced for a while before figuring it out myself. These
ideas are useful for you regardless of what style of Forex trading you do,
however for a scalper these ideas can be of immense value due to the fact that
you want to keep a more constant pulse on the market.forex sato
I have an “office” in my home where theoretically I am supposed to do most
of my work, however I actually spend about 99% of my time “working”
(trading & doing all the other things I do) in my living room (actually on my
sofa – you should see the “butt print” there – my chiropractor considers me a
“valued client”). I have a nice setup in my home office, including multiple
screens, but I’ve found that I don’t hang around in that room most of the time,
thus I can’t be watching what is happening in the markets throughout the day.
The solution that I’m about to present isn’t for everyone, as it does cost some
money, but if you are a serious trader making nice $$$ by trading, especially
with scalping, then you should consider this idea for yourself.
Buy a laptop computer that is exclusively dedicated to trading. Don’t use it
for anything other than for trading. If you need to use a computer then use
another one, but this laptop computer is your dedicated trading machine.
The reason for having this laptop is that it is portable, so you can be lugging it
around your home (or elsewhere). What you want to do is to have it turned on
and situated wherever you are so you can frequently glance at the charts to see
what the market is doing, scanning regularly for potential scalp trading
opportunities. If you are in the living room watching television then have it
sitting on your coffee table, or on a pedestal next to the sofa, where you can
just look at it from time to time. If you are hanging out elsewhere like the
kitchen, family room, bedroom (provided that your spouse allows this
distraction), backyard, or elsewhere then you can take it with you and place it
somewhere you can glance at it periodically. If you are a doctor, lawyer,
business owner, or some other professional (if you are an employee your boss
might not approve, but if you are the “big kahuna” then you can do whatever
you want) then you can also take this laptop computer to your office to scan
the markets throughout the day (heck, you might score more profits than what
you do at work all week).forex sato
You don’t need to buy an expensive laptop computer; the cheapest one
available from a large “high-tech toy store” will be far more than
adequate. Get a laptop with a “wide screen” (the screen is the dimensions of a
wide screen DVD movie). I’d suggest that you talk to the sales agent about
which laptop has a quiet fan (as I find the hum of the fan annoying), and you
might want to splurge on having a smaller lighter laptop (but these usually
cost more, which is not necessary – my personal preference is for tiny
computers). I’m a laptop computer addict (my wife rolls her eyes at me
because I buy a new one every several months) so I usually don’t buy the
extended warrantees that they try to sell (I think that they’re a big rip off), but
because of how you’ll be using this computer you might want to consider
getting it (it’ll be on for extended periods and so it is possible that it may
breakdown from “wear & tear”).
The reason you want a wide screen is because you can have multiple windows
open and arranged so that different areas of your screen shows different charts
(for visual scanning purposes), and then when you’ll be trading you can have
your trading software on one side with the chart on the other side.
Here are some useful accessories that you might want to consider getting.
You might want to get an optical wireless mouse. A wireless mouse is great
because you can manipulate your computer without having to move the
computer from the convenient place where it is resting, and if the mouse is
optical (not a track ball inside) then you can use it on just about any surface,
such as a coffee table, sofa, magazine, or anything (no mouse pad required).
Your laptop computer should come with a WiFi wireless device inside that
allows you to connect to the Internet wirelessly (obviously you’ll need a
wireless router on your Internet connection). I have found that for most
purposes the wireless works great, but occasionally I lose the wireless
connection. What I did is I bought a “Powerline Ethernet Bridge”
(“HomePlug” from IOGear). I simply plug one of the devices (you get two)
into the electrical outlet near my Internet router (and plug in the network cable
connecting it to the Internet router), and the other device I plug into the
electrical outlet near where I intend to work (next to my sofa in my living
room). I then connect that device to my computer with a network cable. This
ingenious pair of devices uses your home’s electrical wiring to make a direct
physical connection from your computer (anywhere in your house) to the
Internet. The advantage of using this is that you have a constant connection to
the Internet, whereas using wireless is prone to loosing your connection
(which can be bad for your trading).
A few more thoughts for you.
If your laptop is plugged into your power outlet then remove the battery (as
the battery will get weaker over time of constant use). Keep your battery fully
charged and use it when you need to move the computer (without turning it
off) to another location.
Over hours and hours of being turned on your laptop will tend to get quite
hot. Don’t place it on surfaces that might get damaged from the heat. When
you are not paying attention to the markets then simply turn your computer off
(giving it a rest and a chance to cool off).
Turn your “screen saver” off. A screen saver is there to prevent damage to
your screen due to images burning into the screen, but you need to have your
charts displayed at all times, so you’ll want to disable this feature (another
reason to buy the extended warrantee). Right-click on your desktop
(assuming you have a Windows computer – I hope you didn’t buy a Mac
computer (sorry to any die-hard Mac users for this offense, but unless you’re a
graphic designer why the heck would you buy a Mac in a predominantly
Microsoft world) then choose “Properties” then click on the “Screen Saver”
tab on the top, then set your screen saver to “None”.
To save power and to reduce wear on your computer do the following: In the
same place where you made the change to your screensaver you should see an
option to change your power settings. Click on the button to get there and
another window should pop up. Change the following settings for “When
___Forex Scalping
17
computer is PLUGGED IN” (not when running on batteries). “Turn off
monitor” = Never (or “After 2 hours” incase you’ve abandoned your computer
– if it shuts off then just touch the mouse to reactivate the screen). “Turn off
hard disks” = After 5 mins. “System standby” = Never. “System hibernates”
= Never.
If you don’t know how to do the above simple steps then ask a teenager to
help you out. If you broke your computer following the above steps (highly
unlikely, but hey, I need to protect myself legally) then too bad for you; I
accept no responsibility for your actions. You are fully responsible for what
you do, and don’t come crying to me.
If you are serious as a trader, especially as a scalper, then you’ll find that
having a secondary laptop computer exclusively dedicated to trading will be
quite useful, convenient, and will allow you to catch more trades than you
might otherwise. This computer should pay for itself.

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BROKER

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BROKER
For Forex Scalping it is important that you carefully select a suitable Forex
broker based on these criteria. Your Forex broker must provide a live data
feed for charts (further explained below), must have very competitive spreads
for the currency pairs you will be trading on, and the trading software must be
easy to use & quick to execute trades with. forex sato
I have had numerous trading accounts with various brokers (some real money
and some just demo) and at the time of this writing would recommend to my
friends to use FXCM or RefcoFX. This isn’t to claim that they are the best of
all brokers, but overall they are the ones I personally most recommend for
several reasons.
FXCM (and RefcoFX that is pretty much similar) has a very simple user
interface (the trading station software), so simple that even a child can be
taught to use. However other brokers, such as Forex.com and ACM have nice
web based trading interfaces that is simply too complicated for a newbie to
use with ease, and takes far too long to execute a trade when precious seconds
count.
In this eBook I show how to place trades on the FXCM system because it is so
easy to explain, and easy for you to do. Thus all examples in this eBook are
based on FXCM. I have chosen against explaining the methodologies
applicable to such brokers as Forex.com, ACM, and others simply because it
would take far more time to explain how to place OCO, IF THEN, etc…
trades, and the nuances of stop / limit orders. When you become more
advanced as a trader you can figure these out on your own (it took me a while
to wrap my brain around those concepts).
Different brokers also offer different pip spreads on the various currency
pairs. For example, FXCM unfortunately offers 5 pips for GBP/USD (too bad
as it is one of my favorite pairs to trade and scalp), so once you become more
advanced then you might want to have two or more accounts with various
brokers to take advantage of the best that they have to offer. Some brokers
have lower pip spreads than others (i.e. you can get 2 pip spreads on some of
the majors – if your account is large enough), but some of those brokers don’t
have their spreads “fixed”, meaning that they can widen during volatility (but
is generally not a problem for most of the time). FXCM is fixed (good for
you).
Some brokers have streaming executable prices, meaning that the price you
click on is the price you get (even if the market has already moved), whereas
some brokers “request for quote” meaning that if you are experiencing a
shooting market (rapid price changes) then your trade might fail to be entered
(can be frustrating at times). Unfortunately FXCM seems to me to be one of
those. .. forex sato
There are many brokers to choose from. Just to name a few more here are
some others: GFTforex, XpressTrade, CMSforex, FXsolutions, etc… (like I
said, there are others. Google “forex broker”, or look through trading
magazines if you want to find more.)
There are more issues to be aware of in choosing a Forex broker, but what
I’ve covered here present some of the most important
considerations. Generally speaking, stick with the bigger, more popular
brokers. Before dedicating your funds to any in particular it is wise to get
demo accounts with several that you might use to give them a test
drive. Initially it is best to use one broker (FXCM or RefcoFX is a good
choice for your first account), but later (once you’ve gained some experience)
get some more real accounts with other brokers so that you can take advantage
of the stuff that is better with them.
FXCM isn’t the absolute best broker in the world – nor is any broker in my
opinion (they aren’t my primary broker, but I wouldn’t recommend my
primary broker to novice traders as they are one of the more “complicated”
ones). They all have their strengths & weaknesses. I have selected FXCM to
be the broker that all the examples of this eBook use simply because it would
be difficult and confusing to write this eBook trying to explain the examples
with multiple broker variables. I had to pick one, and FXCM is the one I went
with. It is (in my personal opinion) the easiest and best choice for a novice
trader to start trading with, and so that is also why I am using FXCM as the
broker for all the examples of this eBook. They are, for scalp trading
techniques, one of the better, and easiest to work with brokers.
If you are one of those people that insist on finding what you prefer then feel
free to test out the demo versions of a bunch of brokers, but if you are willing
to just take my recommendation then go with FXCM (or RefcoFX) to start
with. At the time of this writing it is the broker I would most recommend to
the average & beginner trader, however if I later change my mind I’ll be sure
to provide my latest recommendation within the online resources section.
Additional Tip: Most brokers don’t always honor your stop orders during
extreme volatility such as around Fundamental Announcements. At the time
of this writing there is a broker that is currently honoring stops even in those
volatile times, and in the eBook “Forex Sailing” I’ll tell you who they are.

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CHARTS

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CHARTS
For Forex Scalping you’ll need charts providing a live data feed from the
same Forex broker you are trading with (very important!). If you are trading
with FXCM then use charts provided by FXCM, if you are trading with
RefcoFX then use charts provided by RefcoFX (use this logic for whatever
broker you are trading with). It is important that you use charts using a live
data feed from the same broker you trade with because there can be slight
discrepancies between brokers than can negatively affect your trading.
For the purpose of scalping it is fine to use the free charts provided by your
broker as the free charts should have everything you need to scalp with. It is
however a good idea to subscribe to a paid version of your favorite charts as
you’ll have some more flexibility (i.e. having multiple charts open
simultaneously).
The chart view you’ll be using most for scalping is the one-minute candle
view over 24 hours. Simply zoom in until you can clearly see the individual
candles. You will be using other views such as hourly and five-minute
candles for other purposes

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PRACTICE ACCOUNT

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PRACTICE ACCOUNT
I would strongly recommend that before you start scalp trading with real
money (even if you are already an experienced Forex trader) that you first get
a demo account with the broker you intend to trade real money with to
practice. I STRONGLY URGE YOU to practice scalping in your demo
account for at least a month (accomplishing a minimum of 20 trades, but more
is better) before trading with real money. Remember, if you can’t make
money in a demo account you won’t magically become successful just by
transitioning to real money. forex sato
After you have succeeded in a demo account next trade a small amount of real
money in a mini account to continue practicing (as your psychology will
change as a result of trading real vs. fake money) before gradually moving up
to trading with the full account size you intend to be trading.

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BROKER SPREADS & TRADABLE CURRENCIES

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BROKER SPREADS & TRADABLE CURRENCIES
Because of the nature of scalping (going for the smallest possible trade
typically using an initial stop of just 10 pips) you need to trade only on the
currency pairs with the smallest pip spread. Here is a screen shot taken of
FXCM’s spreads at the time of this writing (applicable to both mini and
regular trading accounts).

As you can see their fixed spreads range from 3 pips (on EUR/USD &
EUR/GBP) all the way up to 15 pips (on EUR/AUD & GBP/CHF).
It is best to stick with the currency pairs that are just 3 or 4 pips (I’ll explain
why shortly). Too bad that GBP/USD has a 5 pip spread as it is generally my
favorite currency pair to trade, but generally speaking it is best to stay away
from the pairs with 5 pip spreads, and absolutely don’t trade the higher spread
currency pairs.
Thus for the above mentioned reasons (at the time of this writing as brokers
may change spreads in the future) currently for FXCM the currency pairs that
are tradable with these scalping techniques are:

Why only trade these currency pairs? Allow me to explain. Later in this
eBook I will elaborate upon stops used in these trading methods, but I’ll
simply state here that generally you will initially be using 10 pip stops. What
this really means is that the market only has to move 10 pips less your spread
against you to get you stopped out. EUR/USD & EUR/GBP has a 3 pip
spread thus the market needs to only move 7 pips against your direction from
point of entry for you to lose your full 10 pips. Thus the odds of you scoring a
10 pip gain are actually 30% against you from the start. The other currency
pairs listed above have a 4 pip spread, thus the market needs only go 6 pips
against you on a 10 pip stop for you to lose out (40% against you from the
start). The currency pairs with a 5 pip spread can still be traded in special
circumstances, but in general it is best to shy away from these for what should
now be obvious reasons. All the other currency pairs with higher spreads are
absolutely not traded.

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PIP PADDING

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PIP PADDING
In my previous eBook “Forex Surfing” I extensively discussed the importance
of adding pips to entry orders (in the section titled “Broker’s Pip Spread”). In
some respects you won’t need to worry about this for most scalping purposes,
but it is still important to be aware of especially if you’ll be using entry
orders. In this eBook I won’t be discussing this topic at all, but I strongly urge
you to reread that section from within “Forex Surfing”.
OVERVIEW OF THE TECHNIQUES
Here is a general overview of what scalping is like. I’ll talk in generalities
here but will certainly go into specifics later in this eBook. This section is just
to give you a taste for how a typical trade goes.
You watch your charts for specific market conditions to occur. Once you see
a potential opportunity you begin to watch your charts very closely for the
right moment to act. Once the desired circumstance occurs you pounce to
enter a trade. Your trade is entered with a stop set at 10 pips below your entry
price.
If all goes poorly (it happens often when scalping) you’ll lose your 10 pips. If
things go well (as you hope) then ultimately the market will move in your
direction (it might have first dipped back a bit before proceeding). Once it
moves sufficiently far you promptly replace your stop to your entry price to
prevent a loss. Now you are in a “free trade” so hopefully you can make a
profit without any further risk. Hopefully the market doesn’t pull back to stop
you out, and once it moves sufficiently far enough you again replace your stop
so that you are now secured with a 5 pip profit.
What comes next will depend on current market factors, and you’ll have to
make a judgment call about how you will proceed with the trade.
If by your assessment of what you see on your charts you think that the
market is about to pull back you could simply exit the trade at the current
market price to get the most profits out of the small market movement.
Alternately, if you believe that the market may retrace a little but is likely to
resume in a micro trend then you might choose to remain in the trade, trailing
your stops as taught in “Forex Surfing” and either exiting by getting stopped
out for a nice profit or by scalping your exit (explained later in this eBook) at
the appropriate time for an even greater profit. The advantage of letting your
trade run (when appropriate) is that you can potentially score some very
significant pips in a single session.

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STOP FREQUENCY

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STOP FREQUENCY
You’ve probably guessed by now that getting stopped out is common when
scalping. It can get aggravating at times so you need to be mentally prepared
for experiencing frequent stops. Sometimes I swear it’s like I’m psychic or
something for setting my stops to the exact pip to get stopped out just before
the market dramatically turns around and soars into the profit zone. When
you first start scalping you’ll likely find that these stops may drain you
emotionally but after a experiencing them quite a few times you’ll learn to not
get upset by getting stopped out for loss.
You need to develop the skill of ascertaining when to enter a trade that will
likely go in your favor. Then the objective is to quickly move up your stops
to reduce loss and then to secure a profit ASAP. Often you’ll be stopped out
or will voluntarily exit for small 5 pip profits. What you strive to do is to be
cunning and when appropriate leave the trade enough breathing room (not
suffocating it by trailing your stops too closely) to potentially catch some
larger pips (for scalping I consider anything over 20 pips to be a large trade –
scoring 100 pips on a single trade is spectacular).
When looking at risk/reward ratios it soon becomes apparent that on trades
that exit with a 5 pip profit your risk/reward is 2:1. Obviously this isn’t
desirable. If all you feel you can capture is 5 pips (or you simply get stopped
out for 5 pips) then let that be good enough, but what you need to strive for
are sufficient amounts of larger trades (20+ pips) to account for the bulk of
your profits. Needless to say that some days will be better than others (and
some days you’ll even end up a net loser).

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EQUITY MANAGEMENT

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EQUITY MANAGEMENT
I won’t stress the importance of equity management principles here as I have
written sufficiently about this subject in my other eBooks. I strongly
encourage you to reread those sections in the other eBooks and be sure to
adhere to the guidelines presented.
In scalping it is best to maintain a maximum risk of 2% on any single trade,
however when starting off it would be even better to reduce it to just 1% at
least initially while you are still learning. If you are following the “Forex
Freedom” plan your risk levels will be higher, and the justification for this is
explained in my eBook “Forex Sailing”.
To help you quantify this here is a chart of how many lots you could trade
depending on how much you have in your trading account. If you have
already figured out how many lots you can trade doing “Forex Surfing”
techniques (2% at 20 pip stops) then simply use the same amount of lots as
it’ll automatically maintain the proper proportion for your 1% since you are
trading with typically half the stop size.
This chart shows appropriate lots amounts (based on the 10 pip stop) against
various margin account sizes. Keep in mind that once your account surpasses
$100k you should scale your maximum down to 1% to even 0.25% (not
shown) when you reach a million to preserve your equity from substantial
drawdowns. This chart shows the maximum “Amount(K)” you can trade
based on the 10 pip stop. Remember, 10K = 1 mini lot, and 100K = 1 regular
lot (or 10 mini lots).

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CURRENCY PAIR CHOICE

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CURRENCY PAIR CHOICE
Above we listed the currency pairs you should limit yourself to scalping based
on the criteria of their pip spreads. There are a few other factors that are
worth looking at.
In my other eBooks I have repeatedly alluded to the fact that each currency
pair exhibits it’s own personality. It is important to be familiar with the
“personality” of the currency pair(s) you intend to trade so that you can
develop an almost intuitive feel for how it tends to behave. The only way to
cultivate this recognition is to study the charts of the currency pair for a while
(at least a month). I can’t stress enough to you the importance of keeping
your eyes on the charts to become familiar with the pair’s behavior.
At the time of this writing (remember that when you read this the Brokers
might have already changed the spreads) there are two currency pairs that
have a 3 pip spread; EUR/USD and EUR/GBP. Due to the fact that they have
the lowest spread makes them the ideal candidate for scalp trading. There is
however a significant difference between them that makes one more ideal than
the other.
If you watch the charts of EUR/GBP you’ll quickly notice that it’s
“personality” is that it usually moves by very small increments. In general I’d
say that this pair is relatively stable (compare to most other pairs). Many
times it seams to bounce around in very tight ranges, often within 5
pips. Looking at the one-minute charts it appears “fuzzy” due to frequent
bouncing within a tiny range. This makes EUR/GBP difficult to scalp. There
are a few instances when it is worth trading (like when either EUR or GBP
has just released a Fundamental Announcement), but as a general rule
(meaning there are exceptions) it is simply best to avoid scalping this pair.
EUR/USD also has a 3 pip spread, but it is far less “fuzzy” in comparison to
EUR/GBP, and it tends to trend very nicely (even compared to the other
pairs). For these reasons EUR/USD is by far the single best currency pair to
scalp. Most of your scalping should be restricted to this currency pair.
What about the other pairs? You can certainly trade them too. Become
familiar with the personalities of each one and you’ll soon discover that you
have personal preferences for one or two pairs more so than the others. This
becomes a matter of personal preference usually based on which one(s) appeal
to you more and because you have “figured out” their behavior patterns
enough to more consistently be profitable with those pairs.
So your primary scalping pair is EUR/USD, but pick a couple of the 4-pipspread
pairs to be your secondary scalping pairs. In certain circumstances
(which will be elaborated upon later) you could scalp some of the 5-pipspread
pairs, but these won’t be part of your usual routine. In virtually all
circumstance you should completely avoid scalping any of the larger-pipspread
pairs.

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THE TECHNIQUES

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THE TECHNIQUES
In this major section of I’ll cover many specific techniques. Some
are more directly related to “how to scalp”, whereas several of the techniques
are more to support the other concepts. This section presents a collection of
“tidbits” that will later come together in the next major section of
titled “The Opportunities” that makes use of the techniques presented here.
TRADING MECHANICS
Before we delve into the scalp trading opportunities, setups, and techniques
we first need to discuss how to do the mechanics of entering, modifying and
exiting trades.
In “Forex Surfing” I explained how to place “Entry Orders” (setting up a trade
to occur once a specific price is hit), so I won’t be discussing that here. What
I will cover is how to manually enter a trade at current spot price, modify your
stop, and manually exiting a trade at current spot price. These skills will be
explained with “scalping” in mind.
First of all it is important to note that most of the time you won’t be using
entry orders, only market orders (getting in at the current market price) to
place trades. Why can’t you use entry orders? Simply put you must place
entry orders at least 5 pips or more from the current market price, but as a
scalper you want to enter the market at the best price possible, which is at the
current market price once you believe it is time to enter into a live trade.
Please note that the following images show FXCM’s trading software. If you
use some other broker then be sure to be familiar with their software. Also
remember that in the future FXCM may change the look & feel of their
software so by the time you read this these images might be invalid. These
images are simply shown for illustration purposes – you need to be very
familiar with whatever trading software you actually use.
If you have ANY questions about how to use your trading software then
contact your broker’s FREE online help desk. Don’t be scared to contact
them because they are there just waiting around to be of help to you. They
will gladly answer any questions you have and it is EXTREMELY important
that you know how to use your trading software proficiently.
While actively trading you need to be able to “push the button” at a moment’s
notice. The simplest way to enter an order is to click on the “Buy” or “Sell”
side of your desired currency pair in the “Advanced Dealing Rates” window.

Once you clicked to either “Buy” or “Sell” a particular currency pair the
“Market Order” window will appear.

What you do is you set your “Amount(K)” to however many lots you intend to
trade, and you check the check-box to activate a stop. Your stop should be set
10 pips away from the current “Rate”, however if it is not the appropriate 10
pips then don’t worry about it now (unless you are not in a rush to enter your
trade) because you will be able to correct it immediately after your trade has
been activated. When you are ready to enter the trade live you simply click
the “OK” button.
Here is an important tip: Unless you have enough funds in your trading
account to trade 6 or more regular lots (and not trading less than 6 regular
lots) using proper equity management principles then use a “Mini account”
rather than a “regular account”. Currently (this is a relatively recent change)
FXCM (and other brokers to be competitive) now offers the same pip spreads
for mini accounts as they give to regular accounts. Furthermore, with a mini
account you can be much more flexible as you can trade fractions of regular
lots and thus more closely follow your 2% limit. You can trade up to 50 mini
lots in your mini account. To do this simply select the “Amount(K)” window
and type in the number of “K” you want to trade. 10K is one mini lot, 100K is
10 mini lots or equal to one regular lot, and 230K is twenty-three mini lots or
equal to two regular lots plus three mini lots.
Often when I am expecting to be entering a trade soon (but not immediately)
I’ll have the “Market Order” window open with all my trade details set and
just sit there (watching my charts) with my mouse on the “OK” button ready
to deploy at a moment’s notice. When doing this the “Rate” field will
automatically change to reflect the current market price, but the “Stop” price
won’t change. If the stop price becomes incorrect I simply fix it immediately
after the trade becomes activated.
After you have entered a trade live you will want to immediately reset your
stop to be at 10 pips (unless otherwise desired). In the “Open Positions
window right-click your mouse over the “Stop” and select the “Stop/Limit”
option.
You will then be able to change your stop in the “Stop Order” window to 10
less than the “Open” price (the price your trade got entered at). Don’t worry
about adding the broker’s spread, you simply want your stop to be 10 pips
from your entered price.
Later when you change your stop loss order to a breakeven point (stop = open
price) or when you start trailing your stop to protect your gains you’ll simply
repeat the steps above to change your “Stop Order” as appropriate.
If you were to want to create a “Limit Order” (to exit your trade at a
predetermined price for a fixed profit) you simply right-click your mouse over
the “Limit” field in the “Open Positions” window.
A “Limit Order” window will then pop up and you can then set your limit
price to whatever price you consider appropriate based upon the scalping
strategies you use.
When you want to exit a trade manually (for reasons that will be explained
later in the eBook) as opposed to exiting by getting stopped out then simply
right-click your mouse on the trade in the “Open Positions” window, select
the “Close Position” option and the “Close Position” window will
appear. Simply clicking on “OK” will close your open position at the current
market price.
It is useful to have this window open during your active trade so that you can
click “OK” instantly (without fumbling around to get to this window) when
you need to get out of your trade ASAP.
Here is an extra tip that you’ll want to know: If you are trading multiple lots
(regular or mini) then you don’t have to exit all of them. By selecting the
“Amount(K)” to be less lots than you have engaged then you can select how
many of the lots you have open that you want to close. This is useful as
sometimes you’ll want to take some profits while letting a portion of your
trade remain active so that you could potentially score even more
pips. Usually you would have your stop set for breakeven or at a profit before
using this technique.
- - -
So now you know how to use the broker’s trading software to engage into
trades, modify existing trades (the stops & limits), and to manually exit trades
when needed. Please remember that if you have any questions about how to
do any of this then contact your broker for guidance.
I’ve mentioned it above but it bears repeating incase you are one of those
people who skipped reading the above (because you think you already know
how to do all the above stuff). When you think that you might soon be
entering a trade have the “Market Order” window open with all your options
set to the appropriate figures and have your mouse over the “OK” button
ready to click to enter the trade instantaneously when needed. Same thing for
getting out of a trade. When you are in the trade have the “Close Position”
window open with your mouse over the “OK” button ready to click to exit the
trade instantaneously when needed.

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PREMISES OF SCALPING

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PREMISES OF SCALPING
There are a few main premises of scalping that are useful to keep in mind to
understand the logic behind these techniques.
Smaller moves are easier to gain – In my previous eBooks I mentioned that
the larger your target pip gain the higher the possibility that the target won’t
be reached. I have been known to say that it is easier to catch 20 pips than
200 simply because in the time that it would take to reach that goal the market
sentiment could change due to unforeseen circumstances. As a scalper it is
reasonably easy to determine a small movement in a particular direction and
to capitalize on a few pips before the market will likely reverse.
Smaller moves happen more frequently than larger ones – Even during
relatively quite market conditions there are numerous smaller movements that
can adequately be traded. Thus you can easily trade within what appears to be
a stagnant consolidation or range as seen on larger perspectives.
Limit risk due to limited exposure – An active scalp trade typically lasts for a
very brief duration. This reduces the likelihood that unforeseen news or a
Fundamental Announcement will negatively affect the trade.
Profit from trending sentiment – Currency pairs tend to trend or bounce
around in the absence of any news or relevant events. Currency virtually
never remains at a constant price but fluctuates and trends to market
sentiment. These small movements create opportunities to scalp trade.
Cumulative small gains equals large rewards – Scalpers often engage in
numerous trades in a single day. Most trades will only yield a small profit,
but cumulatively they add up to significant gains.

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PICKING TOPS & BOTTOMS (PART A)

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PICKING TOPS & BOTTOMS (PART A)
Read this section carefully as the skill presented here is crucial for most of the
scalping techniques that will be presented later.
Take a few moments looking at the following chart. Look at the
characteristics of the tops & bottoms of the waves.
When you will finish reading this section you’ll have the understanding
needed to be able to “pick” the tops and bottoms of waves like you see
above. What this means is that on the chart example above you would have
been able to capitalize on virtually all the pips that the market went up. You
could have entered at about 1.2130 and rode most (if not all) of the moves
having a final exit at about 1.2185 (55 pips). Even more amazing is that you
could have captured even more pips than that because you would have sold
near the tops and re-entered near the bottoms thus gaining twice through some
of the same prices.
Would knowing how to do what was stated above be of any interest to
you??? It is not magical, but simply a skill that you can cultivate!
I’ve spent some time pondering how I can teach this subject to you. I’ve
come to the conclusion that this is a difficult subject to convey to you but I’ll
do the best that I can. I have also realized that there are two specific
challenges in being able to teach this to you but have also come up with a
solution to each.
The first challenge is that I can’t convey to you all the nuances to be watching
for, so in this section I’ll teach you the general concepts of “picking” at the
tops/bottoms but will point out variations to watch out for as I present
examples throughout the rest of this eBook.
The second challenge is that there is no real way for me to show you what to
look for in live moving charts without having live moving charts. See, in real
time the candle keeps changing shape as the live price continuously moves up
& down during the period of the candle’s formation. In the pictures I show
you of the charts the candles are fixed (frozen). I can talk about what the
candles do but can’t really show you too much. For example, on the chart
pictures you see there may be a rather long candle (a tall one that moved quite
a few pips). Realize that that candle took a full 60 seconds to develop and so
a long candle doesn’t necessarily mean that it shot up (or down) all those pips
in one instant (although it might have). Usually you’ll see it moving up,
down, up some more, down some, etc… until the 60 seconds is over then the
candle is frozen. So looking at the chart pictures I present only shows a
shallow dimension of what happened; you need to be able to see what the
market is actually doing during the 60 seconds that a candle is being formed
as your decision making process also needs to happen in real time.
I’ve found two solutions to this second challenge.
The first solution is that I can record videos of the live charts so that you can
see what I am talking about. This however turned out to not be a good
solution because the movies are soooooo long (because each candle represents
one minute, and the whole thing takes many minutes to complete a complete
market move) and the resulting file size of the movie is huge. The fact that
the file size becomes huge makes it impractical to include in the eBook (as it
is many megabytes in size).
The second solution is what I consider to be the best overall. I’ll discuss the
things to watch for and then expect for you to got watch some live charts
yourself. Sorry if I sound like a broken record about this but watching charts
yourself is not only “the best way” but in fact “the only way” for you to learn
these skills for yourself.
I’ll discuss the things to watch for but it is your duty to go watch some live
charts to see these principles in action. Only by spending some time studying
your charts will any of this actually sink into your mind. Once you’ve spent
the time studying the charts you’ll cultivate an almost “intuitive” ability to
read your charts.
Well, let’s get back onto the topic of “picking” the tops & bottoms. (Actually,
after continuing to write I realized that I started talking about getting into
specifics that are best categorized as separate chapters. I’ve renamed this
chapter to be part “A”, and am ending it here with the intention to continue
on with part “B” later that brings all these smaller concepts that follow
together into a cohesive umbrella.)

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PETIT TRENDS

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PETIT TRENDS
As you are already aware, the markets can only move either up, down or
sideways. On a larger scale (say, as seen on a 5 minute chart or by simply
zooming out on your 1 minute chart) you might see that the market has been
trending (making a series of higher/lower highs and higher/lower lows) for a
while, or that the market has been moving sideways (just bouncing up & down
within a common range).
Remember how I stated in “Forex Surfing” that “what happens in the
macrocosm happens in the microcosm & vice versa”. Thus what happens in
your one-minute charts are the same things that happen on your 5 minute
charts, your hourly charts, your daily charts, weekly charts, even your
monthly charts!
So what am I getting at here??? Well trends happen on your one-minute
charts that might only last 10 to 30 minutes. One larger charts this would only
appear to be a small & insignificant wave or market fluctuations but for a
scalper this is a very serious trend! It doesn’t matter if it is only 10 pips, it is
still a trend.
What may only be a slight blip or a slight move on a larger chart view
can be a complete “trend” in the eyes of a scalper.
Ok, so it’s a trend, but there is more. It also adheres to the general principles
to a trend.
In “Forex Surfing” I showed you the above diagram explaining that there are
trends within trends within trends. Well if you look at the bouncing green line
you notice that it goes up, then it goes back down along the blue shorter
uptrend line. Guess what, that tiny up and back down movement which might
have seemed relatively insignificant from the perspective of a larger chart
represents a complete uptrend and a complete down trend!
Click Here to watch a Flash video of a Fractal
Scientists and mathematicians like to play with “fractals”. They make pretty
pictures. The point of fractals is that as you keep zooming in you keep seeing
the same thing over and over again. The microcosm is a reflection of the
macrocosm. In much the same way, the behavior of your one-minute charts
mimics the behavior of your monthly-charts. This also means that many of
the “rules” regarding trendlines is also true, such as how to gage a trendline
break.

Look at the chart above. Notice how it appears that it could be a chart from
some larger time frame? Well guess what… this is a one-minute chart and
each of the price increments shown on the right are just 5 pips. FYI, after
taking the above chart snapshot it continued trending up, and furthermore this
is of EUR/USD at around 9pm EST (when normally you wouldn’t be trading
because it is outside of the normal market overlap times – just to further
reinforce that scalping opportunities can happen 24 hours a day). Here is
another tidbit of interest – though the price moved on this chart only about 20
since the consolidation you could have walked away with over 30 pips on
what you see here alone. Within an hour after taking this picture the market
continued moving up 10 pips higher than the high shown for an extra easy 20
pips. From 6:30pm to 9:30pm EST (3 hours) you could have walked away
with an easy 50 pips without any losses. I’m still sitting here watching this, so
who knows what will happen later, but I don’t feel like retaking the picture
(too lazy) but the above shows you enough to learn from. Unfortunately I
didn’t trade because I was busy writing about this for you, but I’ve learned to
not worry about missed trade opportunities because they happen over and over
and over and over and over again. I’ll catch something like this next time I’m
actively trading.
As an afterthought I now regret naming what I termed “Micro Trends” that in
my eBook “Forex Surfing” as these trends, which I am now discussing, are
even smaller (and more aptly named “Micro”). Oh well. So that we have a
convenient term to call these even smaller trends for our discussion purposes
I’ll call them “Petit Trends” (“petit” is the French word for “small”). So now
we have a convenient label to use.
Ok, now let’s continue further.
Earlier I mentioned that even on this small scale that generally the rules
applying to trends, such as adjusting (fanned) trend line, broken trends, and
trendline reversals, are true. Let us briefly recap some of these principles.
Broken Trendlines – It is pretty simple to recognize a broken
trendline. Simply draw a trendline within a petit trend and when it is broken
then you will often see a market reversal shortly following.
Notice that these petit trends are pretty simple. Of the 4 trends shown here
they are all pretty much simple trends without fans (except for the second
trend (down) I did add a single fan trendline.
Remember that for a scalper you want to ride your trend and then jump out of
the trade at the first sign of a reversal. You do this because you want to exit
the trade with the maximum profit possible. You then jump back into another
trade when the right set-ups appear.
It is important to keep in mind that when the market is trending you ONLY
trade in the direction of the prevailing trend. DON’T try to trade in both
directions. If the market is uptrending then you only trade the upward petit
trends and you usually (there are exceptions) ignore the petit down
trends. Only resume trading when you see that the market is resuming its
upward trend catching a nice petit uptrend. (Reverse everything I just said for
down trends) If the market is moving within a range such as a consolidation
or within a triangle then you may trade both the up petit trends and the down
petit trends (discussed further later in this eBook).
Fanned Trendlines – When drawing trendlines you connect the lowest low
(I’m obviously talking about an uptrend, just reverse everything I’m saying
for a down trend) to the next lowest low (which should of course be higher in
an uptrend). Often as a trend begins to pick up momentum the steepness of
the trend changes and you need to add more trend lines (steeper ones) to
follow the steepness of your trend as it gets steeper and steeper. By adding
multiple trend lines that follow the pregressively increasing steepness you get
multiple fanning lines, hence “Fanned Trendlines”. Below is an example of a
fanned trendline.
(FYI – this chart is the continuation of the previous chart that proves that it
did continue going up like I said)
Here is another petit trend and notice that I’ve added 3 fanned trendlines.
Now why use a “Fanned Trendline”? Simply put the name of the game for
scalping is to get out of the market AS SOON AS the market starts
reversing. You might say that “yeah but after the market does a brief reversal
it often resumes the larger trend. Wouldn’t it be better to stay in to continue
the ride as it continues the larger trend?” As a scalper you DO want to get
out when your petit trend ends for two reasons. (1) You want to get out with a
profit even if the profit is small. (2) When the reversal reverses again
(resuming the larger trend) you’ll want to get in again (discussed later) and so
you could double catch the pips going back in the direction of the trend
(resulting in more profits).
Thus a “Fanned Trendline” is there to signal you to possibly exit a trade at the
first sign of a potential reversal.
Trend Reversal Patterns – Generally speaking, when a trend breaks so does
your trade (you get out quick). I am mentioning the following because it is
sometime interesting, and sometimes useful for scalping purposes.
I mentioned before (repeatedly) “what happens in the big picture happens on
the small scale”. Well in my eBook “Forex Surfing” I taught you about
common reversal patterns such as “double-tops/bottoms”, “King’s Crown”,
“1-2-3”, “Head & Shoulders”, “Loosing Steam” and other such
reversals. Well they can and do happen on the “petit” scale too.
See the “Head & Shoulders”?
These are useful because they can show you when a market is retracing or
turning around, but most importantly because it can also act as a signal for
you to consider entering a trade (if it is a reversal of a brief reversal that is
now resuming the overall trend, or if in a trading range to switch directions).
It is important to keep in mind that ALL trends end (from small trends to the
largest ones). It is important to watch for the end of the “prevalent” trend so
that you can be quick to change direction of which way you go for the petit
trends.

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STAGNATIONS

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STAGNATION'S
As mentioned above, the market can only move in three ways; up, down, or
sideways. However, what most traders call a “sideways” movement isn’t
really sideways from the perspective of a scalper. What most people call
“sideways” is in fact a series of up and down movement that for a scalper is in
fact a series of petit up and down trends.
Only the scalper ever witnesses what can be considered a true sideways
movement – no change of price at all during a 60 second period. Such periods
of no change of price happen occasionally and on a chart it simply looks like a
flat line, like a minus sign ( - ). More commonly you’ll see things that look
like plus signs ( + ), or what looks like the capital letter “T” ( T ) or an upside
down “T” ( _|_ ), or even a lower-case letter “T” ( t ). To people who are
familiar with “candlestick” terminology these are “doji”. What these mean is
that during the 60 seconds of the formation of that candle that the price didn’t
change at all (for the minus signs) or that the price moved up or down (or both
for the lower-case letter “T”) but returned to the original price. Regardless of
which of these candles formed they all pretty much mean the same thing –
during that minute the market was undecided whether to go up or down.
It’s a common trader saying, “when prices move up the bulls are winning, but
when the prices move down the bears are winning.” The market is always at a
“tug of war” – the bulls try to force the market up and the bears try to force
the market down. When the price remains at more or less the same level it’s
because the force from both sides is about the same thus no body is winning
the tug of war. This is why you get consolidation patters. (Sometimes you
also get a sideways movement before a Fundamental Announcement while
everyone is waiting for the news to be released.) Sideways movement is also
regarded as indecision in the market.
Take a look at the following chart.
There are a few specific things that I want for you to see on this one chart.
The first thing I want for you to notice is the series of capital letter Ts (there
are 5 in a row of them) that happened at 12:00. That signifies stagnation in
the market that is much like a consolidation. You already know that whenever
you have a consolidation that sooner or later will inevitably be a break out. If
you weren’t already in the market by now (there was an opportunity to get in a
few minutes earlier) then you could have gotten in after it resumed
upwards. From our consolidation it went up about 13 pips, so you could have
easily captured at least 5 pips from that move. So what you’ve just learned is
that a consolidation (or for scalping I’ll call it “Stagnation”) can lead to a
potential trading opportunity for entry. You see another example of this
between 12:20 and 12:40.
Another thing I want for you to pay attention to is the wave that happened
between 11:30 and 11:50. Notice that as it reached the top that it started
stagnating (it also ended up breaking the petit trendline that isn’t drawn but
you should be able to imagine it). Often (even in much larger time frames) as
a trend is ending it appears to “lose steam”, forming a rounded appearance. If
you didn’t already exit your trade (hoping that it might have continued up
after the stagnation) then at the first sign that it started moving down from the
stagnation zone then you for sure would have rushed to exit your trade. Now
look at the top of the next wave that happened between 12:10 and
12:20. Again you see another stagnation there at the top. So what you’ve just
learned is that a stagnation can signal a top (or a bottom in a down trend) and
you’ll potentially want to exit your trade to take your profits.
Now here is a question for you. Look at the right side of the chart. See the
top there that happened 12:45? What do you do now? Well the answer is it
depends on what happens next. After the market has moved up (or down) in a
petit trend you’ll see a little stagnation. This is quite common and you have to
wait to see what happens next. If the market continues it’s trend then
obviously you allow your trade to continue, but if the market shows the
slightest sign that it is potentially reversing then you either exit the trade or
seriously tighten your stop (depending on circumstances). The following
chart shows you what happened next.
Notice it went down the following minute. At that point you want to take
even a small profit (even a few pips is better than zero pips or even a
loss). Sure enough in this case you would have been right to do so, but if it
would have quickly turned around you could have re-entered (if things looked
right).
So to summarize, a stagnation (a short one or a longer one) often shows that a
petit trend has lost steam and may potentially end, turning around (good to
exit an existing trade or to potentially enter a new one). Stagnation also often
precedes a market movement much like a consolidation often precedes a
market movement.

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SHARP REVERSAL

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SHARP REVERSALS
Many times a peak (or valley) doesn’t just slow down allowing you ample
time to wonder about what is going on. Sometimes a reversal just happens to
which you’ll need to be able to quickly read the signs and make an appropriate
decision.
Notice the peak of this petit uptrend. There are a couple of interesting things
about this example.
First of all notice the top candle. That single candle sends you a strong signal
warning you of a potential reversal. I sometimes call candles like that as a
“Yikes!” candle. The candle should be somewhat larger than normal, and the
bigger it is the more significant it is. It would have been even more
significant if it were a red candle. Notice that it has a LONG wick (the thin
part) above it. When you see a candle like that it means that it went up quite a
distance but then the market thinks “oops – went too far” and then it pulls
back. You’ll often see such a candle at the tops (or bottoms). This is one
good indication that you should now closely pay attention to what happens
next.
A minute later it dropped to our trend line (having dropped 10 pips from the
top). If you didn’t already exit (as a scalper it’s always a good idea to take
profit rather than letting it disappear) then as soon as it dropped below the low
of 1.2182 then for sure you would have wanted to make an exit.
It might be worth talking here about that petit down trend shown. Notice that
the series of waves downwards began loosing steam (started rounding off) as
the lows/highs only made marginally lower lows. It also broke a trendline
(not shown but you can imagine it) before it made a dramatic turn around
(something you could have been anticipating due to the above mentioned
reasons plus the fact that the larger trend was currently upwards) that led
upwards along a gorgeous uptrend (lasting 50 pips that would have been easy
to scalp all the way up).

Notice on this chart that near 3:50 on this chart you see another “Yikes!”
candle. There are other things on this chart that are worth looking at, but all I
want to discuss here is that peak near the very top of the chart. Notice that
along this overall uptrend that there are some down (red) candles, but
generally the market quickly resumed. At that top you had a few minutes that
it kept going down (plus if you were to draw a fanned trendline you would
have seen it being broken), so you would have exited your trade (as a scalper
you want to prevent loosing as few pips as possible – had it immediately
resumed the uptrend then you could have always jumped back on if
appropriate).
Here are a few more “Yikes!” candles (just to show you). As you can see that
immediately following “Yikes!” candles you need to pay close attention to
react quickly to a likely sharp reversal. Notice on the right side of the chart
you see a pair of candles (blue then red) that formed a top. This is called (by
many traders) “Train Tracks”, and it often signals a reverse. You see a couple
of “Train Tracks” earlier in the chart too. Just after 8:00 and also around 7:35
you see what are known as “Tweezer Tops/Bottoms” (they look like train
tracks with equal length wicks on them that resemble a pair of
tweezers). These aren’t the best example of them but am just showing you
them here to be able to recognize them as they sometimes happen to
potentially signal a sharp reversal to watch for. Train Tracks and Tweezer
Tops/Bottoms, though they have slightly different meanings (which I’ll
explain in a future eBook that I’ll write about “Forex Candles”), but I would
simply lump them together here along with “Yikes!” candles to have similar
significances.
Here is one more chart with several “Yikes!” along with some explanations
about them.
First of all notice the consolidation on most of the left side of the chart. This
happened because the market was waiting for some fundamental
announcements (shown FA calendar under the chart) to be released. The
range of that consolidation was about 10 pips which was certainly scalpable
(you’ll learn more about that later in this eBook). The first vertical line is at
8:30 EST (12:30 GMT) when some fundamentals were released. Notice the
following minute (after the FA was released) you got a down spike making a
big “Yikes!” candle, then the market quickly returned. That is a common
phenomena in the market immediately after an FA (I called this “Whiplash” in
my previous eBook “Explosive Profits”). After the confusion from the FA
settled the market continued upwards for some nice scalpable opportunities
(or you could have surfed it as learned in “Forex Surfing” which is still a type
of “scalp”). At the top of that upwards petit trend notice you see something
very interesting (which is why I decided to show you this chart). You see a
clumping of multiple “Yikes!” candles! This means that the bulls & the bears
were having a big fight over which direction the market should go in, and
what it means to you is to have your mouse ready to click to exit the trade
(broken steep trendline and sharp reversal). Notice the second vertical line
was set for 10:00 EST (14:00 GMT) for when another FA was released. It
resulted in a scalpable opportunity lasting just a few minutes, ending at the
“Yikes!”. I just wanted to show you the above chart to supplement your
understanding of “Yikes!” particularly around Fundamental Announcements
(this topic will be revisited later in this eBook), and to show you that
interesting clumping of “Yikes!” candles at that top.
In general, a reversal can happen quickly and with little warning. Pay
attention to trendline breaks (particularly fanned trendlines), “Yikes!” candles
(and the related Tweezers & Tracks), and especially when prices either drop
sharply or keep dropping for several candles. It is better to exit with whatever
profits you can rather than crossing your fingers for a hopeful continuation
(meanwhile loosing more of your profits). I strongly URGE you to go look at
some charts to see many other examples to condition your eyes to recognize
how to spot a sharp reversal.

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CAFFEINATED MARKET -

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CAFFEINATED MARKET
Many times you’ll see the market just start moving strongly. Typically you
see some long candles and a series of them. When this happens I refer to this
phenomena as the market is “Going For It”. Sometimes you’ll see even more
dramatic candles that are really “Shooting” up (or down), and these I refer to
as “Shooting”. I often refer to these phenomena as “Caffeinated” because to
me it seems like the market drank some coffee and woke up after a period of
slower movement. Take a look at these charts to see what I mean.

Notice that often these dramatic moves are temporarily paused with a
stagnation, and (as on the chart on the left) the stagnation can be a good time
to exit (joyfully taking your profits). The chart on the right is “Shooting”.
This chart is still what I would call “Going For It”, though it is certainly less
dramatic. Notice that it starts rounding off loosing steam near the top. This
one is certainly a nice rounded top.
You’ll often be in a trade when all of a sudden, without warning, it just shoots
up (or down). It is certainly a pleasant feeling to have made a few hundred
dollars before having a chance to blink your eyes (depending on how many
lots you trade), I personally love it when it happens (and it happens
often). Usually “Shoots” happen in the direction of the prevalent trend after
some brief pauses in the market.
Here is a shoot that happened for no apparent reason (no FAs were being
released, and this is at about 21:15 EST when nothing “should” be
happening. There was downwards moving consolidation, then all of a sudden
the market started “going for it” breaking through the consolidation
trendline. Then the market made a “Shoot” which is usually a good signal to
enter into a trade (to hopefully catch the Caffeinated momentum). The
following candle then proceeded to shoot up 20 pips in less than 60
seconds! Earlier in this eBook I mentioned that it is a good idea to have a
laptop computer dedicated to trading (so you can monitor the charts), and this
is one of those times that proves having such a computer is a good idea as
otherwise there is no way you would have caught this unexpected event.
I’m not talking about “Shoots” or “Going For It” that results from
Fundamental Announcements (which obviously precipitate them regularly but
unpredictably). Many times these seem to happen for no apparent reason (I’m
not aware of any news that might have caused it, but news could certainly
make it happen too), and often it seems to have no basis other than a strong
market sentiment. Perhaps these moves happen due to the market makers
wanting the market to move (because they profit from people trading, and
they are encouraged to do so when the market is moving rather than
stagnant). Often times (other than around expected FA or unexpected news
like a terrorist bombing – I lost a trade recently due to market surprise
resulting from the London bombings) there seems to be no reason for the
strong moves, but regardless of what the actual reason for them is you only
care that they happen because you can profit from them.
Sometimes when a “Shoot” occurs it just jumps a significant amount of pips,
but most often it happens gradually but quickly during the minute that the
candle is being formed. If you’ve been watching a reversal or a stagnation
and then see it beginning to “Shoot” in the direction of the prevalent trend
then you might want to quickly enter a trade to catch a ride on the “Shoot”
while the market is “Going For It” (earlier I explained the importance of being
prepared to enter a trade immediately, and this is one of the times that being
quick on the trigger is good to catch it early).

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SECURE YOUR ENTRY

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SECURE YOUR ENTRY
This technique is simply to ensure that you’ll have entered at a reasonably
good price incase the market picks up steam or shoots in your direction before
you would have had enough time to act to enter your trade.
When the market has been trending and has gone into a retracement you’ll
frequently see a tiny stagnation at the base of the retracement (as was
discussed above in the section dealing with stagnations). At this time you’ll
be watching for the market to begin to extend so that you can enter into a
trade. Sometime all this will happen slow enough for you to successfully
place your trade in time, however sometimes the price will move too quickly
for you to manually enter a trade and you’ll simply miss your optimal chance.
There is a very simple solution to this scenario. Simply use the “Forex
Surfing” entry technique as your insurance that you’ll be entered in
time. During the time of retracement, when the market has entered into a
stagnation, simply place your entry order at the top/bottom of the wave
(factoring in the spread as discussed in the “Forex Surfing” eBook), with your
stop order placed at the bottom of the wave or at the bottom of the stagnation
area (the bottom of the retracement becomes the new wave bottom). Ideally
your stop shouldn’t be bigger than 10 pips, but it may be larger, and if so then
use the “Surfing” rules for this scenario (and adjust your lots to conform with
your equity management rules)

With the surf entry technique set as your insurance then continue waiting for
your opportunity to happen. If you can enter the trade once the market
appears to be extending from the retracement then you’ve successfully gotten
in at a better price and you’ll immediately proceed to canceling your surf
entry order. If the extension happened too fast for you to manually enter your
trade then at least you’ve caught a “surf” which will typically be at a better
price than if you were to later manually enter a trade to catch any shoots that
may have happened.

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BI-DIRECTIONAL IN-WAVE ENTRY

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BI-DIRECTIONAL IN-WAVE ENTRY
This technique is something that I should have included in my eBook “Forex
Surfing”, but I simply forgot to write about it then. Oh well, here it is
now. This concept is equally useful to you if you are “Surfing” or if you are
“Scalping”.
Sometimes (actually often) you’ll encounter times when you are uncertain
about the market direction, but you do expect it to move (not for times when
the market is likely consolidating). It’ll often appear that the market has
moved from a trending movement, retraced, done a slight extension that didn’t
cross the top/bottom of the wave, and retraced somewhat. When you see
something like this you might be wondering in what direction the market will
eventually break out in. FYI, the early stages of a triangle in formation look
like this too, but it might simply be a brief period of market indecision.
So now you are faced with a dilemma – in which direction do you attempt to
trade?
What I do is I, in such scenarios, might place two entry orders on both sides of
the double wave. The theory is that if it breaks out in one direction that it
should often continue (for however far) in that direction. Doing this you need
to be careful; you don’t want to get caught in a bull/bear trap if the market is
actually consolidating (so keep a close eye to scalp an exit at the first sign of
reversal in your new petit trend).
You’ll frequently see such a setup shortly after a Fundamental has been
released, after the market has settled from a strong panic reaction and
everyone starts to more logically evaluate in which direction the price should
move.
Simply put, you “secure your entry” as was taught in the above section, but
you do two of them for the opposite directions. Once one of your two entry
orders gets activated as a trade then simply cancel the other entry order.
Notice on the above image how it appears that you’ve got a downward
surfable wave (the larger wave), but it also appears that you have a smaller
upwards wave? Simply straddling the market in this way means that you’ll be
able to catch trades when otherwise your uncertainty would prevent you from
trading. As a general rule of thumb use this method primarily during market
overlap times when the market is likely to resume some kind of a trend rather
than just be consolidated (as often happens outside of market overlap
times). Again, after getting entered be watchful to scalp an exit as a
precaution (it is always better to exit with even a couple of pips than to suffer
a potential loss, whenever possible).
You should also note that when you see something like this it may potentially
be the start of a consolidation or even (rarer) a triangle. Later in this eBook I
explain how to deal with those situations should what you are seeing develop
into either a consolidation or triangle.
TIP – In the eBook “Forex Sailing” I give a technique that is useful to apply
to this “Bi-Directional” opportunity. Look for the technique in the section
titled “Netless Straddle Trading” which will teach you how to trade these “Bi-
Directional” opportunities without getting doubly burned if the market
bounces around indecisively.

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SAFER STOPS

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SAFER STOPS
“Safer Stops” is really just a simple concept that can potentially save you a
few extra pips on those trades that end up as a loss. You know the cliché, “a
dollar saved is a dollar earned”, and as a trader when you can save some
losses (without sacrificing your trading opportunities too much) then it is
generally a good idea to do so.
So far you’ve learned that with scalping methods it is the standard approach to
start off your trade risking 10 pips. In some circumstances you might start off
with a larger pip risk (as you might do in “Surfing”, using a 20 pip stop), but
the general rule for scalping is 10 pips. What if you have a petit trend and say
the bottom of that wave is just 4 pips away? Should you still use a 10 pip
stop? Well you could, and most often you would but you could shave off a
couple of pips in times like these.
In “Forex Surfing” you’ve learned to add the pip spread to your
entry/stop/limit orders, and this is good for you to continue to do. Simply
subtract (in an uptrend, add in a downtrend) the pip spread plus 1 pip from the
base of the wave and use that as your stop.
So in our example above with the bottom of the wave being 4 pips away,
assuming we’re trading EUR/USD with a 3 pip spread then we could shave
our stop to being just 8 pips away rather than 10.
Sometimes doing this you’ll see the price coming down, hitting your stop and
going back into what could have been profits had you left your stop at 10
pips. At times like this you’ll hate me for having recommended doing this (it
also ticks me off when this happens to me). But often enough if the price
would have stopped you out at 8 pips or 9 pips then chances are you would
have also gotten stopped out at 10 pips (and at those times you’ll love me for
having recommended doing this). At least you’ll have saved a pip or two, and
cumulatively over 5 to 10 such trades this has a net result of saving you the
equivalent of one full bad trade. It doesn’t seem like much, but for a scalper
cumulative effect is the name of the game as you are accumulating small
profits and avoiding the accumulation of small losses.

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FIBONACCI GUIDANCE

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FIBONACCI GUIDANCE
It is very important to keep in mind, while watching a micro trend, that the
market will move up or down in a series of waves. In the eBook “Forex
Surfing” I explain how to work with Fibonacci theory, so please go and reread
that section. I can’t tell you enough how valuable the Fibonacci concepts are
to assist you with your scalping.
During a micro trend you will regularly observe the market moving in waves
often roughly retracing to the 50% or 62% levels. This is key to watch for as
when you see what appears to be a reversal in the petit trend near the key
retracement levels then that is an excellent place to attempt to enter into a
trade.

Furthermore, once the market has extended beyond the peak of the wave that
retracement low is then the appropriate location to replace your stop to.
I can’t stress enough to you the important of being aware of Fibonacci when
trading. You find immense value in using this concept when you are scalping.

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SPECIALIZED FIBONACCI OBSERVANCES

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SPECIALIZED FIBONACCI OBSERVANCES
Fibonacci (Fibs) has been my favorite technique of all times, and due to my
mindset I always have a mental filter looking to see how it can be adopted to
whatever I am doing (including non-trading related things).
This section will not cover Fibonacci theory; for that go read the section
explaining Fibonacci in my eBook “Forex Surfing” (I also intend to one day
get around to writing a detailed eBook teaching just about everything I know
about Fibonacci including its advanced concepts). In this section I assume
you are already familiar with these concepts so I won’t review much.
To start off let me be very clear hear that you will not be using standard
Fibonacci theory directly as a trading methodology for scalping. What I will
describe here are some observations about the behavior of the markets (from a
scalping perspective) that some concepts of Fibonacci theory helps to
support. Furthermore, this particular section isn’t so much about specific
entry/exit points (though it certainly can be used to help you make such
decisions), but rather to help you to learn to evaluate the strength of a
particular trend, and to justify some stop levels.
In an uptrend (just reverse everything I say for a down trend) the market
typically moves in waves making progressively higher highs and higher
lows. When a retracement occurs, according to Fibonacci theory, the price
will typically reach to be around one of the four main retracement levels;
38%, 50%, 62%, or 79%. Because the swings that often occur on a scalping
perspective scale are so small I have simplified the ratios to “zones”
conforming to my own theories based on my observations (go ahead, call it
the “Borowski Swings” theory ;P ). These zones are simply thirds of the
retracement range (amplitude or height of the swing), and I simply call them
(ummm… making up the names now – a lot of the concepts I come up with I
simply use without naming them, but have to name them for my eBooks to
have a convenient label to use for explanation purposes) “Shallow Green
Zone”, “Mid Yellow Zone”, and “Deep Red Zone” (after some thinking I’d
decided to go with traffic light colors for reasons that will become apparent
soon).

So what are these “Scalping Swing Zones” for? Simply, the third zones help
you to gage visually the relative strength of a trend that you are seeing.
In Fibonacci theory it is generally understood that if the swing retraces to only
the 38% level that there is usually strong momentum in the trend (likely to
continue strongly for a while yet), whereas on the opposite side of the
spectrum if the swing retraces down to the 79% level that usually signifies
that the trend is loosing steam and so the extension usually won’t go as far and
the possibility of seeing a potential turn around of the prevalent trend becomes
a much stronger probability.
Often during an overall trend you’ll see that early in the trend the swings
bounce at the shallower levels, then as the trend progresses the swings tend to
retrace deeper and deeper often forming what looks like a rounding top as the
trend seems to lose steam. Imagine that this phenomena is somewhat like a
bouncing rubber ball that with each successive bounce loses energy. This
phenomena is regularly seen on larger charts (go look at some hourly charts
and zoom into some obvious trends and chances are that you’ll see what I’m
talking about right on your screen).
Here is the best chart I could find of EUR/USD (one hour charts) kind of
showing what I’m talking about in a downtrend. This doesn’t always happen
“text book perfect” (and this isn’t the absolute best example), but you’ll see
that the concept has merit over all. The Fibonacci lines are drawn to show
you where they are, and you’ll notice that the retracement came close to the
labeled key Fibonacci levels.
In scalping, the above statements are still quite true, however because of the
tiny size of the petit waves the standard Fibonacci percentages aren’t always
accurate. This is because in such small waves the difference between the
Fibonacci percentages might only be a couple of pips, and so it could be easy
for the market to overshoot a percentage level creating a false impression for
your. Furthermore when the market has dipped down into the retracement and
before it turns around into an extension there is often some kind of a
stagnation (lasting briefly or for a while) and the stagnation often ranges a few
pips, thus not being completely clear at what percentage level is best to
consider it (I know, I know, of course it is the deepest price that determines
this, but I like to think of it a bit differently).
forex sato
Thus the “Scalping Swing Zones” is a concept better adapted to this tiny
perspective of market activity.
Usually you don’t have to draw any analytical lines to see in which zone the
price has retraced to as it is easy to visually imagine the thirds. Furthermore,
if you get a stagnation area in your retracement you usually pay attention to
which third zone that most of the stagnation is contained within, but if a
significant portion of the stagnation is in a deeper zone then consider it as
having retraced into the deeper zone.
If the market retraces into the “Shallow Green” Zone and then proceeds to
resume the trend then this is generally regarded as either just a brief pause in
the trend or a still rather strong trend (likely to continue for a while
yet). Often you’ll see a retracement into the “Shallow Green” zone after the
market has been “Going For It”. Most often when the market “Shoots” it’ll
“Shoot” from the “Shallow Green”. Using standard traffic light mentality…
“you’re green to go!”
Most often you’ll see the market retrace into the middle section called the
“Mid Yellow” Zone. This is quite typical and a great zone to enter a trade
within (if you can) because your stop loss will typically be below the 100%
retracement level (so feel free to decrease your stop if you want at the start of
the trade) and you’ll often score many of the pips that the market retraced
(potentially catch them twice). Your key Fibonacci retracement levels are
contained within this zone (the 38%, 50% & 62%). When the market retraces
to within this zone (and you get a good reversal for an extension to enter onto)
then you are generally pretty happy. Using standard traffic light mentality…
“you’re yellow to step on it!” (think about what you actually do (not what
you’re supposed to do) when you are driving. When the light is green you
keep driving, but when the light turns yellow you step on the gas.)
Sometimes you’ll see the market retrace into the last section called the “Deep
Red Zone”. This often happens in a slow moving market such as when a trend
is loosing most of it’s momentum, or when in a consolidation patter
(particularly a sloping consolidation), and of course in a triangle pattern (as
the market bounces tighter and tighter it often retraces through the “Deep Red
Zone”). Using standard traffic light mentality you’d usually stop - not
necessarily stop trading but rather you’d stop to consider what the signs are
telling you. It is still possible that the market could resume the trend with
renewed enthusiasm, but you need to be aware that a pending reversal might
not be far away, and if you end up jumping into a trade (in the direction of the
prevalent trend) then don’t hold your breath of it going too far up before it
reverses again.
Here is an additional point to make regarding scalpable swings that has
nothing to do with the above-mentioned zones. This is about your stop levels.
Most petit trends (and their swing size) typically range in size from about 10
pips to about 30 pips (sure, there are occasional larger ones), but if you asked
_me what the average is I’d say that it would be about 15 pips (no, I didn’t
make any actual calculations. This is an estimate based on what I’ve often
seen).
Standard Fibonacci trading methodology dictates that when you enter a trade
(say getting on around the 62% level) that you place your stop loss order at
the 100% level (the base of the swing). The idea is that if the market retraces
all the way to the bottom of the swing then chances are you are seeing a
reversal and so the principle of the Fibonacci swing extending for profit is
thus proven to be wrong in this instance. I talk extensively about this concept
in “Forex Surfing” as it is the basis of the “Surfing” trading methodology
(note: feel free to use scalping as the entry method for surfing types of trades
to take advantage of better entry price).
Because the swing is small (like I stated earlier, typically between 10 to 30
pips) when you enter into a trade on a retracement then your 10 pip stop loss
order will often be around the 100% retracement level. Think about it. If you
have a 20 pip swing that retraces into the “Mid Yellow” range, then if you
were to get in around there your stop of 10 pips would be around the base
price of the swing. If your stop is below the 100% retracement level then that
is also fine.
So all I wanted to point out here is that often your 10 pip stop order will be at
more or less the correct price without thinking too much about it simply
because of how everything works.

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